Wuhan's late-June temperatures reflect peak East Asian monsoon influence, with the subtropical high providing subsidence and solar heating tempered by lingering moisture, variable cloud cover, and light winds that curb peak insolation. Current ensemble guidance from global and regional models centers daily maxima near 31–33 °C, consistent with climatological late-June averages of 30–32 °C and recent observed highs in the low-30s amid patchy rain or haze. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32 °C versus 33 °C versus 31 °C arises from small forecast differences in afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift realized maxima by 1–2 °C. CMA and international model updates over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 29?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 29?
32°C 32%
33°C 29%
31°C 20%
34°C or higher 13.0%
NEW
NEW
Jun 29, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
20%
32°C
32%
33°C
29%
34°C or higher
13%
32°C 32%
33°C 29%
31°C 20%
34°C or higher 13.0%
NEW
NEW
Jun 29, 2026
24°C or below
$500 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$234 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$451 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$190 Vol.
3%
30°C
$214 Vol.
10%
31°C
$220 Vol.
20%
32°C
$3,433 Vol.
32%
33°C
$993 Vol.
29%
34°C or higher
$521 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wuhan's late-June temperatures reflect peak East Asian monsoon influence, with the subtropical high providing subsidence and solar heating tempered by lingering moisture, variable cloud cover, and light winds that curb peak insolation. Current ensemble guidance from global and regional models centers daily maxima near 31–33 °C, consistent with climatological late-June averages of 30–32 °C and recent observed highs in the low-30s amid patchy rain or haze. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32 °C versus 33 °C versus 31 °C arises from small forecast differences in afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift realized maxima by 1–2 °C. CMA and international model updates over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$7,114End Date
Jun 29, 2026Market Opened
Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wuhan's late-June temperatures reflect peak East Asian monsoon influence, with the subtropical high providing subsidence and solar heating tempered by lingering moisture, variable cloud cover, and light winds that curb peak insolation. Current ensemble guidance from global and regional models centers daily maxima near 31–33 °C, consistent with climatological late-June averages of 30–32 °C and recent observed highs in the low-30s amid patchy rain or haze. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32 °C versus 33 °C versus 31 °C arises from small forecast differences in afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift realized maxima by 1–2 °C. CMA and international model updates over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,114End Date
Jun 29, 2026Market Opened
Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wuhan's late-June temperatures reflect peak East Asian monsoon influence, with the subtropical high providing subsidence and solar heating tempered by lingering moisture, variable cloud cover, and light winds that curb peak insolation. Current ensemble guidance from global and regional models centers daily maxima near 31–33 °C, consistent with climatological late-June averages of 30–32 °C and recent observed highs in the low-30s amid patchy rain or haze. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32 °C versus 33 °C versus 31 °C arises from small forecast differences in afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift realized maxima by 1–2 °C. CMA and international model updates over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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