Recent moderate global seismic activity, with daily M5+ detections often in the single digits through early June 2026, anchors trader expectations around the historical average of roughly 8–12 magnitude 5.5+ events per week derived from USGS catalogs and the Gutenberg-Richter frequency-magnitude relation. Poisson-like variability around this baseline, combined with no large aftershock sequences or elevated regional strain indicators from monitoring networks, supports the market-implied clustering near 7–9 events while assigning the highest probability to >9. Ongoing USGS real-time catalogs and any new M6+ detections in the coming days remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds before the June 21 close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月15日至6月21日發生了多少次5.5級或以上的地震？
6月15日至6月21日發生了多少次5.5級或以上的地震？
>9 44%
9 14%
8 12%
7 11%
最新
最新
2026-06-21
≤5
10%
6
9%
7
11%
8
12%
9
14%
>9
44%
>9 44%
9 14%
8 12%
7 11%
最新
最新
2026-06-21
≤5
$218 交易量
10%
6
$40 交易量
9%
7
$42 交易量
11%
8
$40 交易量
12%
9
$58 交易量
14%
>9
$271 交易量
44%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent moderate global seismic activity, with daily M5+ detections often in the single digits through early June 2026, anchors trader expectations around the historical average of roughly 8–12 magnitude 5.5+ events per week derived from USGS catalogs and the Gutenberg-Richter frequency-magnitude relation. Poisson-like variability around this baseline, combined with no large aftershock sequences or elevated regional strain indicators from monitoring networks, supports the market-implied clustering near 7–9 events while assigning the highest probability to >9. Ongoing USGS real-time catalogs and any new M6+ detections in the coming days remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds before the June 21 close.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 1:49 PM ET
交易量
$670結束日期
2026-06-21市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent moderate global seismic activity, with daily M5+ detections often in the single digits through early June 2026, anchors trader expectations around the historical average of roughly 8–12 magnitude 5.5+ events per week derived from USGS catalogs and the Gutenberg-Richter frequency-magnitude relation. Poisson-like variability around this baseline, combined with no large aftershock sequences or elevated regional strain indicators from monitoring networks, supports the market-implied clustering near 7–9 events while assigning the highest probability to >9. Ongoing USGS real-time catalogs and any new M6+ detections in the coming days remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds before the June 21 close.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
交易量
$670結束日期
2026-06-21市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderate global seismic activity, with daily M5+ detections often in the single digits through early June 2026, anchors trader expectations around the historical average of roughly 8–12 magnitude 5.5+ events per week derived from USGS catalogs and the Gutenberg-Richter frequency-magnitude relation. Poisson-like variability around this baseline, combined with no large aftershock sequences or elevated regional strain indicators from monitoring networks, supports the market-implied clustering near 7–9 events while assigning the highest probability to >9. Ongoing USGS real-time catalogs and any new M6+ detections in the coming days remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds before the June 21 close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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