Recent M7.8 and M6.5 earthquakes on June 8 off southern Mindanao and in the Celebes Sea near the Philippines, both confirmed by USGS records, have already occurred within the June 8–14 window and anchor trader consensus around one or two total events. Global M6.0–6.9 frequency averages roughly 0.4–1 per week based on long-term USGS data, with additional occurrences possible from aftershock sequences or independent activity along subduction zones. Short-term seismic forecasting carries high uncertainty, and ongoing USGS monitoring through June 14 will determine final resolution as new detections above magnitude 6.5 would shift outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月8日至6月14日發生了多少次6.5級或以上的地震？
6月8日至6月14日發生了多少次6.5級或以上的地震？
1 51%
0 48%
2 26%
3 5.9%
$14,640 交易量
$14,640 交易量
2026-06-15
0
30%
1
41%
2
26%
3
6%
4
4%
5
<1%
>5
<1%
1 51%
0 48%
2 26%
3 5.9%
$14,640 交易量
$14,640 交易量
2026-06-15
0
$5,340 交易量
30%
1
$1,380 交易量
41%
2
$851 交易量
26%
3
$963 交易量
6%
4
$1,564 交易量
4%
5
$1,422 交易量
<1%
>5
$3,119 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent M7.8 and M6.5 earthquakes on June 8 off southern Mindanao and in the Celebes Sea near the Philippines, both confirmed by USGS records, have already occurred within the June 8–14 window and anchor trader consensus around one or two total events. Global M6.0–6.9 frequency averages roughly 0.4–1 per week based on long-term USGS data, with additional occurrences possible from aftershock sequences or independent activity along subduction zones. Short-term seismic forecasting carries high uncertainty, and ongoing USGS monitoring through June 14 will determine final resolution as new detections above magnitude 6.5 would shift outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
市場開放時間： Jun 5, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
交易量
$14,640結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 5, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent M7.8 and M6.5 earthquakes on June 8 off southern Mindanao and in the Celebes Sea near the Philippines, both confirmed by USGS records, have already occurred within the June 8–14 window and anchor trader consensus around one or two total events. Global M6.0–6.9 frequency averages roughly 0.4–1 per week based on long-term USGS data, with additional occurrences possible from aftershock sequences or independent activity along subduction zones. Short-term seismic forecasting carries high uncertainty, and ongoing USGS monitoring through June 14 will determine final resolution as new detections above magnitude 6.5 would shift outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
交易量
$14,640結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 5, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent M7.8 and M6.5 earthquakes on June 8 off southern Mindanao and in the Celebes Sea near the Philippines, both confirmed by USGS records, have already occurred within the June 8–14 window and anchor trader consensus around one or two total events. Global M6.0–6.9 frequency averages roughly 0.4–1 per week based on long-term USGS data, with additional occurrences possible from aftershock sequences or independent activity along subduction zones. Short-term seismic forecasting carries high uncertainty, and ongoing USGS monitoring through June 14 will determine final resolution as new detections above magnitude 6.5 would shift outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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