The official Avengers: Doomsday trailer’s launch today has created intense early momentum, with the YouTube upload already surpassing 27 million views in roughly 10 hours amid widespread MCU crossover excitement. Traders see the film’s December 18 release positioning, star returns including Chris Evans as Steve Rogers, and strong teaser performance exceeding 1 billion combined views as key drivers pushing the 45–55 million range into a virtual tie. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether sustained social amplification, platform algorithm boosts, and fan engagement across Instagram and TikTok can push totals past 50 million in the full 24-hour window or if initial hype plateaus against typical Marvel trailer trajectories. The tight 50% odds across mid-to-upper brackets reflect uncertainty around exact cross-platform aggregation and last-minute view velocity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many views will Avengers: Doomsday Trailer get on Day 1?
How many views will Avengers: Doomsday Trailer get on Day 1?
35–40M 97.0%
50–55M 3.8%
60M+ 1.1%
40–45M <1%
NEW
NEW
Jul 21, 2026
<30M
<1%
30–35M
<1%
35–40M
97%
40–45M
1%
45–50M
<1%
50–55M
4%
55–60M
<1%
60M+
1%
35–40M 97.0%
50–55M 3.8%
60M+ 1.1%
40–45M <1%
NEW
NEW
Jul 21, 2026
<30M
$410 Vol.
<1%
30–35M
$624 Vol.
<1%
35–40M
$4,234 Vol.
97%
40–45M
$2,027 Vol.
1%
45–50M
$1,176 Vol.
<1%
50–55M
$888 Vol.
4%
55–60M
$545 Vol.
<1%
60M+
$1,223 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of views the Avengers: Doomsday Official Trailer YouTube video posted by Marvel on July 20, 2026 gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Marvel’s YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@Marvel/videos), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is unavailable exactly 24 hours after the video was first posted, this market will resolve according to the latest confirmed number of views up until that point.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Avengers: Doomsday | Official Trailer | In Theaters December 18", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irVNGjRFZGk. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.The official Avengers: Doomsday trailer’s launch today has created intense early momentum, with the YouTube upload already surpassing 27 million views in roughly 10 hours amid widespread MCU crossover excitement. Traders see the film’s December 18 release positioning, star returns including Chris Evans as Steve Rogers, and strong teaser performance exceeding 1 billion combined views as key drivers pushing the 45–55 million range into a virtual tie. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether sustained social amplification, platform algorithm boosts, and fan engagement across Instagram and TikTok can push totals past 50 million in the full 24-hour window or if initial hype plateaus against typical Marvel trailer trajectories. The tight 50% odds across mid-to-upper brackets reflect uncertainty around exact cross-platform aggregation and last-minute view velocity.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the Avengers: Doomsday Official Trailer YouTube video posted by Marvel on July 20, 2026 gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Marvel’s YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@Marvel/videos), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is unavailable exactly 24 hours after the video was first posted, this market will resolve according to the latest confirmed number of views up until that point.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Avengers: Doomsday | Official Trailer | In Theaters December 18", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irVNGjRFZGk. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Marvel’s YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@Marvel/videos), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is unavailable exactly 24 hours after the video was first posted, this market will resolve according to the latest confirmed number of views up until that point.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Avengers: Doomsday | Official Trailer | In Theaters December 18", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irVNGjRFZGk. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$9,813End Date
Jul 21, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irVNGjRFZGkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of views the Avengers: Doomsday Official Trailer YouTube video posted by Marvel on July 20, 2026 gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Marvel’s YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@Marvel/videos), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is unavailable exactly 24 hours after the video was first posted, this market will resolve according to the latest confirmed number of views up until that point.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Avengers: Doomsday | Official Trailer | In Theaters December 18", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irVNGjRFZGk. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.The official Avengers: Doomsday trailer’s launch today has created intense early momentum, with the YouTube upload already surpassing 27 million views in roughly 10 hours amid widespread MCU crossover excitement. Traders see the film’s December 18 release positioning, star returns including Chris Evans as Steve Rogers, and strong teaser performance exceeding 1 billion combined views as key drivers pushing the 45–55 million range into a virtual tie. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether sustained social amplification, platform algorithm boosts, and fan engagement across Instagram and TikTok can push totals past 50 million in the full 24-hour window or if initial hype plateaus against typical Marvel trailer trajectories. The tight 50% odds across mid-to-upper brackets reflect uncertainty around exact cross-platform aggregation and last-minute view velocity.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the Avengers: Doomsday Official Trailer YouTube video posted by Marvel on July 20, 2026 gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Marvel’s YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@Marvel/videos), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is unavailable exactly 24 hours after the video was first posted, this market will resolve according to the latest confirmed number of views up until that point.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Avengers: Doomsday | Official Trailer | In Theaters December 18", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irVNGjRFZGk. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Marvel’s YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@Marvel/videos), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is unavailable exactly 24 hours after the video was first posted, this market will resolve according to the latest confirmed number of views up until that point.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Avengers: Doomsday | Official Trailer | In Theaters December 18", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irVNGjRFZGk. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$9,813End Date
Jul 21, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irVNGjRFZGkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The official Avengers: Doomsday trailer’s launch today has created intense early momentum, with the YouTube upload already surpassing 27 million views in roughly 10 hours amid widespread MCU crossover excitement. Traders see the film’s December 18 release positioning, star returns including Chris Evans as Steve Rogers, and strong teaser performance exceeding 1 billion combined views as key drivers pushing the 45–55 million range into a virtual tie. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether sustained social amplification, platform algorithm boosts, and fan engagement across Instagram and TikTok can push totals past 50 million in the full 24-hour window or if initial hype plateaus against typical Marvel trailer trajectories. The tight 50% odds across mid-to-upper brackets reflect uncertainty around exact cross-platform aggregation and last-minute view velocity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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