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icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Jul 21

Jul 21

The Hunger Games 50%

Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea 43%

Enola Holmes 3 43%

The Hunger Games: Catching Fire 43%

Polymarket
NEW

The Hunger Games 50%

Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea 43%

Enola Holmes 3 43%

The Hunger Games: Catching Fire 43%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for The Hunger Games

The Hunger Games

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea

Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Enola Holmes 3

Enola Holmes 3

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for The Hunger Games: Catching Fire

The Hunger Games: Catching Fire

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Heartstopper Forever

Heartstopper Forever

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Old Henry

Old Henry

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for White Chicks

White Chicks

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Voicemails for Isabelle

Voicemails for Isabelle

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for The Doorman

The Doorman

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for KPop Demon Hunters

KPop Demon Hunters

$0 Vol.

42%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent additions of the full Hunger Games franchise to Netflix US on July 14 have injected fresh momentum, positioning the original film and Catching Fire among frontrunners for the #2 spot behind whatever leads the weekly chart. Enola Holmes 3, which commanded the top position earlier in July with strong points totals, continues to draw viewers alongside holdovers like Old Henry, White Chicks, and Voicemails for Isabelle. Newer titles such as Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea have climbed quickly in some trackers, while catalog entries like The Boss Baby and Spider-Man: Homecoming maintain steady engagement. With multiple films clustered near 50% implied probability, traders are pricing in volatile weekly shifts driven by daily viewership updates, release timing, and audience retention rather than any single dominant release.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0
End Date
Jul 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 8:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent additions of the full Hunger Games franchise to Netflix US on July 14 have injected fresh momentum, positioning the original film and Catching Fire among frontrunners for the #2 spot behind whatever leads the weekly chart. Enola Holmes 3, which commanded the top position earlier in July with strong points totals, continues to draw viewers alongside holdovers like Old Henry, White Chicks, and Voicemails for Isabelle. Newer titles such as Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea have climbed quickly in some trackers, while catalog entries like The Boss Baby and Spider-Man: Homecoming maintain steady engagement. With multiple films clustered near 50% implied probability, traders are pricing in volatile weekly shifts driven by daily viewership updates, release timing, and audience retention rather than any single dominant release.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0
End Date
Jul 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 8:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Hunger Games" at 50%, followed by "Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 15, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is "The Hunger Games" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.