RBI projections for fiscal 2027 anchor trader sentiment in the India Annual Inflation 2026 market, with the central bank forecasting average CPI near 4.6 percent amid quarterly paths of 4.0 percent, 4.4 percent, 5.2 percent, and 4.7 percent. Recent April 2026 data showed headline inflation at 3.48 percent, up modestly from 3.40 percent in March, as food prices firmed while government subsidies contained energy pass-through. Persistent geopolitical risks, volatile global oil prices, and base effects from 2025’s sharp disinflation are cited as upside pressures that could lift the full-year 2026 average above 4.5 percent. With the RBI maintaining its 4 percent target and 2–6 percent band through 2031, market-implied odds reflect expectations that these factors will outweigh near-term cooling in core measures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated4.50%+ 79%
2.25% to 2.99% 7.8%
3.00% to 3.74% 7.1%
<0.75% 4.0%
$60,597 Vol.
$60,597 Vol.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
3%
1.50% to 2.24%
10%
2.25% to 2.99%
8%
3.00% to 3.74%
7%
3.75% to 4.49%
10%
4.50%+
79%
4.50%+ 79%
2.25% to 2.99% 7.8%
3.00% to 3.74% 7.1%
<0.75% 4.0%
$60,597 Vol.
$60,597 Vol.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
$806 Vol.
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
$525 Vol.
3%
1.50% to 2.24%
$415 Vol.
10%
2.25% to 2.99%
$23,739 Vol.
8%
3.00% to 3.74%
$517 Vol.
7%
3.75% to 4.49%
$23,340 Vol.
10%
4.50%+
$11,254 Vol.
79%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRBI projections for fiscal 2027 anchor trader sentiment in the India Annual Inflation 2026 market, with the central bank forecasting average CPI near 4.6 percent amid quarterly paths of 4.0 percent, 4.4 percent, 5.2 percent, and 4.7 percent. Recent April 2026 data showed headline inflation at 3.48 percent, up modestly from 3.40 percent in March, as food prices firmed while government subsidies contained energy pass-through. Persistent geopolitical risks, volatile global oil prices, and base effects from 2025’s sharp disinflation are cited as upside pressures that could lift the full-year 2026 average above 4.5 percent. With the RBI maintaining its 4 percent target and 2–6 percent band through 2031, market-implied odds reflect expectations that these factors will outweigh near-term cooling in core measures.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$60,597End Date
Jan 12, 2027Market Opened
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRBI projections for fiscal 2027 anchor trader sentiment in the India Annual Inflation 2026 market, with the central bank forecasting average CPI near 4.6 percent amid quarterly paths of 4.0 percent, 4.4 percent, 5.2 percent, and 4.7 percent. Recent April 2026 data showed headline inflation at 3.48 percent, up modestly from 3.40 percent in March, as food prices firmed while government subsidies contained energy pass-through. Persistent geopolitical risks, volatile global oil prices, and base effects from 2025’s sharp disinflation are cited as upside pressures that could lift the full-year 2026 average above 4.5 percent. With the RBI maintaining its 4 percent target and 2–6 percent band through 2031, market-implied odds reflect expectations that these factors will outweigh near-term cooling in core measures.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Volume
$60,597End Date
Jan 12, 2027Market Opened
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...RBI projections for fiscal 2027 anchor trader sentiment in the India Annual Inflation 2026 market, with the central bank forecasting average CPI near 4.6 percent amid quarterly paths of 4.0 percent, 4.4 percent, 5.2 percent, and 4.7 percent. Recent April 2026 data showed headline inflation at 3.48 percent, up modestly from 3.40 percent in March, as food prices firmed while government subsidies contained energy pass-through. Persistent geopolitical risks, volatile global oil prices, and base effects from 2025’s sharp disinflation are cited as upside pressures that could lift the full-year 2026 average above 4.5 percent. With the RBI maintaining its 4 percent target and 2–6 percent band through 2031, market-implied odds reflect expectations that these factors will outweigh near-term cooling in core measures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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