Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a Dallas minimum temperature near 70–72°F on October 12, driven by persistent southerly flow at 8–13 mph that limits radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and maintains dew points in the mid-60s. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across mid-60s to upper-70s bins because small differences in overnight cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or steering winds can shift the low by several degrees. Clearer skies would favor slightly lower readings through enhanced longwave radiation loss, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind would keep temperatures closer to the upper end of the range. Historical October climatology shows average lows near 60°F, underscoring how the current warm advection pattern supports the elevated forecast. Final NWS observations and any last model runs tonight will resolve the market.