Persistent mild Atlantic air and extensive cloud cover associated with a slow-moving frontal system have kept overnight radiative cooling limited across London, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily minimum near 14–15 °C. Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate the temperature will bottom out around 12 °C under lingering rain and moderate southwesterly flow, yet recent model runs show slightly warmer boundary-layer profiles than climatological norms for early September. With the day still unfolding and potential for clearing skies later, traders are weighting the higher-resolution short-range guidance that tempers the overnight drop. Updated Met Office briefings and any revised 12–18 UTC model cycles will provide the next key data points for resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on September 8?
Lowest temperature in London on September 8?
15°C 50%
14°C 33%
13°C 4%
12°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
9%
14°C
40%
15°C
57%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 50%
14°C 33%
13°C 4%
12°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
11°C or below
$242 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$110 Vol.
1%
13°C
$474 Vol.
9%
14°C
$1,685 Vol.
40%
15°C
$2,174 Vol.
57%
16°C
$2,221 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$402 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$431 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$920 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent mild Atlantic air and extensive cloud cover associated with a slow-moving frontal system have kept overnight radiative cooling limited across London, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily minimum near 14–15 °C. Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate the temperature will bottom out around 12 °C under lingering rain and moderate southwesterly flow, yet recent model runs show slightly warmer boundary-layer profiles than climatological norms for early September. With the day still unfolding and potential for clearing skies later, traders are weighting the higher-resolution short-range guidance that tempers the overnight drop. Updated Met Office briefings and any revised 12–18 UTC model cycles will provide the next key data points for resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$8,780End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent mild Atlantic air and extensive cloud cover associated with a slow-moving frontal system have kept overnight radiative cooling limited across London, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily minimum near 14–15 °C. Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate the temperature will bottom out around 12 °C under lingering rain and moderate southwesterly flow, yet recent model runs show slightly warmer boundary-layer profiles than climatological norms for early September. With the day still unfolding and potential for clearing skies later, traders are weighting the higher-resolution short-range guidance that tempers the overnight drop. Updated Met Office briefings and any revised 12–18 UTC model cycles will provide the next key data points for resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,780End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent mild Atlantic air and extensive cloud cover associated with a slow-moving frontal system have kept overnight radiative cooling limited across London, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily minimum near 14–15 °C. Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate the temperature will bottom out around 12 °C under lingering rain and moderate southwesterly flow, yet recent model runs show slightly warmer boundary-layer profiles than climatological norms for early September. With the day still unfolding and potential for clearing skies later, traders are weighting the higher-resolution short-range guidance that tempers the overnight drop. Updated Met Office briefings and any revised 12–18 UTC model cycles will provide the next key data points for resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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