Current forecasts from models such as those referenced by Météo-France-aligned sources and international ensembles point to an overnight minimum near 18–20 °C in Paris on 27 August 2026, with trader consensus centering on 19 °C as the leading outcome. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected overnight moderate radiative cooling, elevating the minimum relative to the long-term August average of roughly 14 °C. Southwesterly flow and high humidity further limit temperature drops, while model agreement on these conditions has kept probabilities for 18–20 °C outcomes collectively above 75 %. Updated guidance later today or early tomorrow could refine the exact low if precipitation timing or cloud thickness shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 27?
19°C 40%
20°C 22%
18°C 17%
21°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
14°C or below
4%
15°C
8%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18°C
17%
19°C
40%
20°C
22%
21°C
14%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
5%
19°C 40%
20°C 22%
18°C 17%
21°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
14°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
15°C
$5 Vol.
8%
16°C
$0 Vol.
5%
17°C
$0 Vol.
5%
18°C
$93 Vol.
17%
19°C
$115 Vol.
40%
20°C
$80 Vol.
22%
21°C
$9 Vol.
14%
22°C
$116 Vol.
8%
23°C
$705 Vol.
3%
24°C or higher
$5 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models such as those referenced by Météo-France-aligned sources and international ensembles point to an overnight minimum near 18–20 °C in Paris on 27 August 2026, with trader consensus centering on 19 °C as the leading outcome. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected overnight moderate radiative cooling, elevating the minimum relative to the long-term August average of roughly 14 °C. Southwesterly flow and high humidity further limit temperature drops, while model agreement on these conditions has kept probabilities for 18–20 °C outcomes collectively above 75 %. Updated guidance later today or early tomorrow could refine the exact low if precipitation timing or cloud thickness shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,133End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models such as those referenced by Météo-France-aligned sources and international ensembles point to an overnight minimum near 18–20 °C in Paris on 27 August 2026, with trader consensus centering on 19 °C as the leading outcome. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected overnight moderate radiative cooling, elevating the minimum relative to the long-term August average of roughly 14 °C. Southwesterly flow and high humidity further limit temperature drops, while model agreement on these conditions has kept probabilities for 18–20 °C outcomes collectively above 75 %. Updated guidance later today or early tomorrow could refine the exact low if precipitation timing or cloud thickness shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,133End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models such as those referenced by Météo-France-aligned sources and international ensembles point to an overnight minimum near 18–20 °C in Paris on 27 August 2026, with trader consensus centering on 19 °C as the leading outcome. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected overnight moderate radiative cooling, elevating the minimum relative to the long-term August average of roughly 14 °C. Southwesterly flow and high humidity further limit temperature drops, while model agreement on these conditions has kept probabilities for 18–20 °C outcomes collectively above 75 %. Updated guidance later today or early tomorrow could refine the exact low if precipitation timing or cloud thickness shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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