Trader sentiment centers on the expected impact of the East Asian monsoon and meiyu rainy season, which typically brings persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered precipitation to Shanghai in mid-June, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and anchoring the daily minimum near 21–23 °C. Recent model guidance for June 13 shows a frontal passage or rain band that should suppress clear-sky cooling, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind direction. Historical climatology places average June lows around 20–22 °C, while any brief clearing could allow a dip toward 20 °C or a slight rebound above 24 °C if subsidence strengthens. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 13?
23°C 29%
22°C 26%
25°C or higher 16%
18°C 15%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
15%
19°C
3%
20°C
10%
21°C
13%
22°C
26%
23°C
29%
24°C
14%
25°C or higher
16%
23°C 29%
22°C 26%
25°C or higher 16%
18°C 15%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
15%
19°C
3%
20°C
10%
21°C
13%
22°C
26%
23°C
29%
24°C
14%
25°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on the expected impact of the East Asian monsoon and meiyu rainy season, which typically brings persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered precipitation to Shanghai in mid-June, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and anchoring the daily minimum near 21–23 °C. Recent model guidance for June 13 shows a frontal passage or rain band that should suppress clear-sky cooling, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind direction. Historical climatology places average June lows around 20–22 °C, while any brief clearing could allow a dip toward 20 °C or a slight rebound above 24 °C if subsidence strengthens. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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