Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum of 19°C for Tokyo on June 18 under cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with mid-June climatology where overnight lows typically range 17–20°C amid the Baiu frontal zone. Market-implied odds favoring 20–21°C reflect uncertainty in model consensus on cloud cover timing and urban heat retention, which can elevate minima by 1–2°C relative to rural baselines. Key variables include evolving shower patterns that limit radiational cooling and potential shifts in steering flow; updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs overnight will clarify whether the low settles near 19°C or edges higher.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 18 juin ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 18 juin ?
21°C 43%
20°C 40%
19°C 8.8%
22°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
15°C ou moins
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
9%
20°C
40%
21°C
43%
22°C
7%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou plus
<1%
21°C 43%
20°C 40%
19°C 8.8%
22°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
15°C ou moins
$405 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$445 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$111 Vol.
1%
18°C
$37 Vol.
4%
19°C
$132 Vol.
9%
20°C
$128 Vol.
40%
21°C
$45 Vol.
43%
22°C
$1 Vol.
7%
23°C
$57 Vol.
2%
24°C
$300 Vol.
<1%
25°C ou plus
$200 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum of 19°C for Tokyo on June 18 under cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with mid-June climatology where overnight lows typically range 17–20°C amid the Baiu frontal zone. Market-implied odds favoring 20–21°C reflect uncertainty in model consensus on cloud cover timing and urban heat retention, which can elevate minima by 1–2°C relative to rural baselines. Key variables include evolving shower patterns that limit radiational cooling and potential shifts in steering flow; updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs overnight will clarify whether the low settles near 19°C or edges higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,861Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum of 19°C for Tokyo on June 18 under cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with mid-June climatology where overnight lows typically range 17–20°C amid the Baiu frontal zone. Market-implied odds favoring 20–21°C reflect uncertainty in model consensus on cloud cover timing and urban heat retention, which can elevate minima by 1–2°C relative to rural baselines. Key variables include evolving shower patterns that limit radiational cooling and potential shifts in steering flow; updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs overnight will clarify whether the low settles near 19°C or edges higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,861Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum of 19°C for Tokyo on June 18 under cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with mid-June climatology where overnight lows typically range 17–20°C amid the Baiu frontal zone. Market-implied odds favoring 20–21°C reflect uncertainty in model consensus on cloud cover timing and urban heat retention, which can elevate minima by 1–2°C relative to rural baselines. Key variables include evolving shower patterns that limit radiational cooling and potential shifts in steering flow; updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs overnight will clarify whether the low settles near 19°C or edges higher.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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