Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and global models indicate a mild southerly flow will keep Toronto's overnight low for October 12 in the 12–16°C range, well above the 8.4°C climatological average. This stems from persistent above-normal temperatures and limited radiational cooling under cloudy skies with light winds, reducing the chance of sharp drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability for 18°C or higher alongside clustered odds near 13–15°C, aligns with these model runs while acknowledging residual uncertainty from potential shifts in cloud cover or frontal timing that could alter the exact minimum recorded at official stations.