Amy Klobuchar secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota governor in the August 11, 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote after incumbent Tim Walz opted not to seek re-election. As a sitting U.S. senator with extensive statewide name recognition and fundraising advantages, she holds a commanding lead in early general-election polling against Republican nominee Lisa Demuth, the Minnesota House speaker who prevailed in a crowded GOP primary that included Mike Lindell. Traders assign Klobuchar a 93.5 percent implied probability, reflecting her structural advantages in a state that has favored Democrats in recent statewide contests. A shift could occur through major unforeseen events such as health developments, ethics controversies, or pronounced national partisan swings that boost Republican turnout before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$68,944 Vol.
$68,944 Vol.

Amy Klobuchar (D)
94%

Lisa Demuth (R)
6%
$68,944 Vol.
$68,944 Vol.

Amy Klobuchar (D)
94%

Lisa Demuth (R)
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Amy Klobuchar secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota governor in the August 11, 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote after incumbent Tim Walz opted not to seek re-election. As a sitting U.S. senator with extensive statewide name recognition and fundraising advantages, she holds a commanding lead in early general-election polling against Republican nominee Lisa Demuth, the Minnesota House speaker who prevailed in a crowded GOP primary that included Mike Lindell. Traders assign Klobuchar a 93.5 percent implied probability, reflecting her structural advantages in a state that has favored Democrats in recent statewide contests. A shift could occur through major unforeseen events such as health developments, ethics controversies, or pronounced national partisan swings that boost Republican turnout before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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