Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in the Delaware at-large House race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in congressional contests, her 2024 victory margin exceeding 15 points, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. The Republican primary features several candidates ahead of the September 15 vote, yet none have generated notable momentum or fundraising to suggest a viable general-election threat. Primary elections occur September 15 and the general election follows on November 3. Trader consensus at these levels reflects Delaware's electoral history and the absence of major shifts in voter coalitions or campaign developments that would narrow the gap. A significant national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or primary surprise could theoretically alter the trajectory, though structural factors continue to anchor current probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDE-AL House Election Winner
DE-AL House Election Winner
$18,412 Vol.
$18,412 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$18,412 Vol.
$18,412 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,250 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$13,162 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in the Delaware at-large House race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in congressional contests, her 2024 victory margin exceeding 15 points, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. The Republican primary features several candidates ahead of the September 15 vote, yet none have generated notable momentum or fundraising to suggest a viable general-election threat. Primary elections occur September 15 and the general election follows on November 3. Trader consensus at these levels reflects Delaware's electoral history and the absence of major shifts in voter coalitions or campaign developments that would narrow the gap. A significant national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or primary surprise could theoretically alter the trajectory, though structural factors continue to anchor current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$18,412End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in the Delaware at-large House race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in congressional contests, her 2024 victory margin exceeding 15 points, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. The Republican primary features several candidates ahead of the September 15 vote, yet none have generated notable momentum or fundraising to suggest a viable general-election threat. Primary elections occur September 15 and the general election follows on November 3. Trader consensus at these levels reflects Delaware's electoral history and the absence of major shifts in voter coalitions or campaign developments that would narrow the gap. A significant national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or primary surprise could theoretically alter the trajectory, though structural factors continue to anchor current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,412End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in the Delaware at-large House race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in congressional contests, her 2024 victory margin exceeding 15 points, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. The Republican primary features several candidates ahead of the September 15 vote, yet none have generated notable momentum or fundraising to suggest a viable general-election threat. Primary elections occur September 15 and the general election follows on November 3. Trader consensus at these levels reflects Delaware's electoral history and the absence of major shifts in voter coalitions or campaign developments that would narrow the gap. A significant national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or primary surprise could theoretically alter the trajectory, though structural factors continue to anchor current probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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