Pat Murphy leads the NL Manager of the Year market at 78% implied probability, reflecting the Milwaukee Brewers’ league-best record and run differential through late September. The two-time defending winner has guided the club to consistent excellence, including a strong finish that has positioned Milwaukee atop the NL Central and among the top overall teams. Walt Weiss sits at 16.5% after the Atlanta Braves exceeded expectations to claim the NL East despite multiple injuries, aided by effective bullpen management in the first-year skipper’s tenure. Lower-priced outcomes such as Craig Stammen, Torey Lovullo, and others trail because their clubs have posted comparatively weaker results and standings positions, leaving limited narrative support for voters as the regular season concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPat Murphy 78.0%
Walt Weiss 17%
Craig Stammen 1.8%
Torey Lovullo 1.1%
$175,892 Vol.
$175,892 Vol.
Pat Murphy
78%
Walt Weiss
17%
Craig Stammen
2%
Torey Lovullo
1%
Don Kelly
1%
Clayton McCullough
1%
Blake Butera
1%
Carlos Mendoza
1%
Oliver Marmol
<1%
Terry Francona
<1%
Dave Roberts
<1%
Craig Counsell
<1%
Rob Thomson
<1%
Tony Vitello
<1%
Warren Schaeffer
<1%
Pat Murphy 78.0%
Walt Weiss 17%
Craig Stammen 1.8%
Torey Lovullo 1.1%
$175,892 Vol.
$175,892 Vol.
Pat Murphy
78%
Walt Weiss
17%
Craig Stammen
2%
Torey Lovullo
1%
Don Kelly
1%
Clayton McCullough
1%
Blake Butera
1%
Carlos Mendoza
1%
Oliver Marmol
<1%
Terry Francona
<1%
Dave Roberts
<1%
Craig Counsell
<1%
Rob Thomson
<1%
Tony Vitello
<1%
Warren Schaeffer
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Pat Murphy leads the NL Manager of the Year market at 78% implied probability, reflecting the Milwaukee Brewers’ league-best record and run differential through late September. The two-time defending winner has guided the club to consistent excellence, including a strong finish that has positioned Milwaukee atop the NL Central and among the top overall teams. Walt Weiss sits at 16.5% after the Atlanta Braves exceeded expectations to claim the NL East despite multiple injuries, aided by effective bullpen management in the first-year skipper’s tenure. Lower-priced outcomes such as Craig Stammen, Torey Lovullo, and others trail because their clubs have posted comparatively weaker results and standings positions, leaving limited narrative support for voters as the regular season concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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