Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon’s prime minister since February 2025, following nomination by 84 of 128 MPs and cabinet formation under President Joseph Aoun. Recent developments reinforce his position: parliament renewed confidence in his government on September 16, 2026, with 68 votes in favor despite Hezbollah’s bloc withdrawing from the session. Salam has pursued state authority over weapons, economic reforms, reconstruction, and diplomatic engagement, including meetings in New York during the UN General Assembly with U.S. and regional officials focused on army support, UNIFIL’s future, and regional stability. No major parliamentary challenges or resignation signals have emerged in the past month, consistent with trader consensus that he will remain in office through the end of 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated12% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
12% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon’s prime minister since February 2025, following nomination by 84 of 128 MPs and cabinet formation under President Joseph Aoun. Recent developments reinforce his position: parliament renewed confidence in his government on September 16, 2026, with 68 votes in favor despite Hezbollah’s bloc withdrawing from the session. Salam has pursued state authority over weapons, economic reforms, reconstruction, and diplomatic engagement, including meetings in New York during the UN General Assembly with U.S. and regional officials focused on army support, UNIFIL’s future, and regional stability. No major parliamentary challenges or resignation signals have emerged in the past month, consistent with trader consensus that he will remain in office through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,247End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon’s prime minister since February 2025, following nomination by 84 of 128 MPs and cabinet formation under President Joseph Aoun. Recent developments reinforce his position: parliament renewed confidence in his government on September 16, 2026, with 68 votes in favor despite Hezbollah’s bloc withdrawing from the session. Salam has pursued state authority over weapons, economic reforms, reconstruction, and diplomatic engagement, including meetings in New York during the UN General Assembly with U.S. and regional officials focused on army support, UNIFIL’s future, and regional stability. No major parliamentary challenges or resignation signals have emerged in the past month, consistent with trader consensus that he will remain in office through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,247End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon’s prime minister since February 2025, following nomination by 84 of 128 MPs and cabinet formation under President Joseph Aoun. Recent developments reinforce his position: parliament renewed confidence in his government on September 16, 2026, with 68 votes in favor despite Hezbollah’s bloc withdrawing from the session. Salam has pursued state authority over weapons, economic reforms, reconstruction, and diplomatic engagement, including meetings in New York during the UN General Assembly with U.S. and regional officials focused on army support, UNIFIL’s future, and regional stability. No major parliamentary challenges or resignation signals have emerged in the past month, consistent with trader consensus that he will remain in office through the end of 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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