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icon for Next French Presidential Election
World·French Election

Next French Presidential Election

icon for Next French Presidential Election
World·French Election

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen 38.4%

Édouard Philippe 24%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13%

David Lisnard 6.8%

Polymarket

$136,921,550 Vol.

Marine Le Pen 38.4%

Édouard Philippe 24%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13%

David Lisnard 6.8%

Polymarket

$136,921,550 Vol.

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$2,672,599 Vol.

38%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$1,699,765 Vol.

24%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$1,576,446 Vol.

13%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$2,379,003 Vol.

7%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$1,952,974 Vol.

6%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$2,357,946 Vol.

2%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$1,845,828 Vol.

2%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$2,213,612 Vol.

2%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$2,515,243 Vol.

1%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,327,080 Vol.

1%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,169,172 Vol.

1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$6,525,722 Vol.

1%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,761,413 Vol.

1%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,969,642 Vol.

1%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$4,316,155 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$4,175,200 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$4,216,748 Vol.

<1%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$5,956,727 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,756,797 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$2,304,499 Vol.

<1%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$930,892 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Baroin

François Baroin

$1,300,010 Vol.

<1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$6,145,704 Vol.

<1%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$3,683,745 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$4,244,293 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$5,755,683 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$4,990,072 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$4,741,077 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$5,253,723 Vol.

<1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$4,066,895 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,939,554 Vol.

<1%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$5,446,142 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$5,701,448 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$2,086,486 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$4,742,203 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$2,338,862 Vol.

<1%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$4,826,252 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$6,420,688 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucie Castets

Lucie Castets

$418,284 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yannick Jadot

Yannick Jadot

$750,460 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marion Maréchal

Marion Maréchal

$446,509 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen leads the market at 38.4% amid consistent polling showing her National Rally securing 32-36% in first-round scenarios for the April 2027 vote, reflecting party consolidation and voter support on immigration and economic issues despite her upheld embezzlement conviction and shortened eligibility restrictions from the July appeals ruling. Édouard Philippe follows at 23.5% as the strongest center-right contender, drawing from Horizons and Macron-era voters while outperforming Gabriel Attal in head-to-head tests among moderates. Jean-Luc Mélenchon holds 12.5% on the left through loyal La France Insoumise backing and recent survey gains, though left fragmentation and weak runoff transfers limit his position. The field remains split across dozens of declared candidates, with trader consensus tracking these first-round dynamics and historical runoff patterns ahead of the primary season.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$136,921,550
End Date
Jan 1, 2028
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen leads the market at 38.4% amid consistent polling showing her National Rally securing 32-36% in first-round scenarios for the April 2027 vote, reflecting party consolidation and voter support on immigration and economic issues despite her upheld embezzlement conviction and shortened eligibility restrictions from the July appeals ruling. Édouard Philippe follows at 23.5% as the strongest center-right contender, drawing from Horizons and Macron-era voters while outperforming Gabriel Attal in head-to-head tests among moderates. Jean-Luc Mélenchon holds 12.5% on the left through loyal La France Insoumise backing and recent survey gains, though left fragmentation and weak runoff transfers limit his position. The field remains split across dozens of declared candidates, with trader consensus tracking these first-round dynamics and historical runoff patterns ahead of the primary season.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$136,921,550
End Date
Jan 1, 2028
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next French Presidential Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 41+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marine Le Pen" at 38%, followed by "Édouard Philippe" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next French Presidential Election" has generated $136.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next French Presidential Election," browse the 41+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next French Presidential Election" is "Marine Le Pen" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Édouard Philippe" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next French Presidential Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.