Elif Eralp leads trader consensus at 76% after her Die Linke party secured the largest share in the September 20, 2026, Berlin state election with 25.7% of the vote. The result followed a campaign centered on rent controls, housing affordability, and expanded migrant inclusion, drawing strong support from younger voters and immigrant communities. Stefan Evers of the CDU trails at 22.5% after his party placed second at 18.8%, a decline from prior standing amid the prior governing mayor’s withdrawal over crisis-management issues. Coalition talks with the SPD and Greens will determine the next governing mayor, though Eralp’s position as top vote-getter gives her the clearest path under standard parliamentary procedures. Low probabilities for other listed candidates reflect their parties’ weaker showings and limited coalition prospects.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedElif Eralp 77%
Stefan Evers 23%
Werner Graf <1%
Steffen Krach <1%
$183,793 Vol.
$183,793 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
Elif Eralp
77%
Stefan Evers
23%
Werner Graf
1%
Steffen Krach
<1%
Kristin Brinker
<1%
Elif Eralp 77%
Stefan Evers 23%
Werner Graf <1%
Steffen Krach <1%
$183,793 Vol.
$183,793 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
Elif Eralp
$115,831 Vol.
77%
Stefan Evers
$40,610 Vol.
23%
Werner Graf
$19,199 Vol.
1%
Steffen Krach
$5,340 Vol.
<1%
Kristin Brinker
$2,813 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elif Eralp leads trader consensus at 76% after her Die Linke party secured the largest share in the September 20, 2026, Berlin state election with 25.7% of the vote. The result followed a campaign centered on rent controls, housing affordability, and expanded migrant inclusion, drawing strong support from younger voters and immigrant communities. Stefan Evers of the CDU trails at 22.5% after his party placed second at 18.8%, a decline from prior standing amid the prior governing mayor’s withdrawal over crisis-management issues. Coalition talks with the SPD and Greens will determine the next governing mayor, though Eralp’s position as top vote-getter gives her the clearest path under standard parliamentary procedures. Low probabilities for other listed candidates reflect their parties’ weaker showings and limited coalition prospects.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Volume
$183,793End Date
Jun 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elif Eralp leads trader consensus at 76% after her Die Linke party secured the largest share in the September 20, 2026, Berlin state election with 25.7% of the vote. The result followed a campaign centered on rent controls, housing affordability, and expanded migrant inclusion, drawing strong support from younger voters and immigrant communities. Stefan Evers of the CDU trails at 22.5% after his party placed second at 18.8%, a decline from prior standing amid the prior governing mayor’s withdrawal over crisis-management issues. Coalition talks with the SPD and Greens will determine the next governing mayor, though Eralp’s position as top vote-getter gives her the clearest path under standard parliamentary procedures. Low probabilities for other listed candidates reflect their parties’ weaker showings and limited coalition prospects.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$183,793End Date
Jun 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elif Eralp leads trader consensus at 76% after her Die Linke party secured the largest share in the September 20, 2026, Berlin state election with 25.7% of the vote. The result followed a campaign centered on rent controls, housing affordability, and expanded migrant inclusion, drawing strong support from younger voters and immigrant communities. Stefan Evers of the CDU trails at 22.5% after his party placed second at 18.8%, a decline from prior standing amid the prior governing mayor’s withdrawal over crisis-management issues. Coalition talks with the SPD and Greens will determine the next governing mayor, though Eralp’s position as top vote-getter gives her the clearest path under standard parliamentary procedures. Low probabilities for other listed candidates reflect their parties’ weaker showings and limited coalition prospects.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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