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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Jack Lowden 33.9%

No Bond chosen 20.3%

Callum Turner 16%

Jacob Elordi 8.1%

Polymarket

$97,407 Vol.

Jack Lowden 33.9%

No Bond chosen 20.3%

Callum Turner 16%

Jacob Elordi 8.1%

Polymarket

$97,407 Vol.

Jack Lowden

$15,606 Vol.

34%

No Bond chosen

$17,927 Vol.

20%

Callum Turner

$31,280 Vol.

16%

Jacob Elordi

$3,585 Vol.

8%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$5,436 Vol.

8%

Theo James

$6,002 Vol.

6%

Josh O'Connor

$2,778 Vol.

1%

Tom Holland

$1,658 Vol.

1%

Harris Dickinson

$1,705 Vol.

1%

Tom Hardy

$3,322 Vol.

1%

Paul Mescal

$1,417 Vol.

1%

Pierce Brosnan

$854 Vol.

1%

Timothee Chalamet

$1,081 Vol.

1%

Henry Cavill

$1,499 Vol.

<1%

James Norton

$1,247 Vol.

<1%

Robert James-Collier

$906 Vol.

<1%

Michael B Jordan

$1,105 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus places Jack Lowden atop the field at 33.9% implied probability following recent shifts in betting markets that have positioned the Scottish actor ahead of prior frontrunners like Callum Turner. The 20.3% chance assigned to no selection yet reflects the methodical audition process launched in May under casting director Nina Gold, with further rounds scheduled and producer Amy Pascal indicating a likely announcement by year-end. Differentiating factors include the premium on British performers suited for a multi-film commitment, age profiles allowing several installments, and varying levels of star power versus critical buzz from recent projects, leaving the market sensitive to any late casting signals or confirmation of an international contender.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$97,407
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus places Jack Lowden atop the field at 33.9% implied probability following recent shifts in betting markets that have positioned the Scottish actor ahead of prior frontrunners like Callum Turner. The 20.3% chance assigned to no selection yet reflects the methodical audition process launched in May under casting director Nina Gold, with further rounds scheduled and producer Amy Pascal indicating a likely announcement by year-end. Differentiating factors include the premium on British performers suited for a multi-film commitment, age profiles allowing several installments, and varying levels of star power versus critical buzz from recent projects, leaving the market sensitive to any late casting signals or confirmation of an international contender.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$97,407
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next James Bond actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jack Lowden" at 34%, followed by "No Bond chosen" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next James Bond actor?" has generated $97.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next James Bond actor?," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next James Bond actor?" is "Jack Lowden" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "No Bond chosen" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next James Bond actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.