Next leader out of power before 2027?
$912,123 Vol.
Schoof - Netherlands PM 47%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 27%
Lecornu - France PM 7.8%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President 5.0%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$37,930 Vol.
47%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$37,930 Vol.
47%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$32,722 Vol.
27%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$32,722 Vol.
27%
Lecornu - France PM
$36,131 Vol.
8%
Lecornu - France PM
$36,131 Vol.
8%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$45,517 Vol.
5%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$45,517 Vol.
5%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$43,214 Vol.
2%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$43,214 Vol.
2%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$30,781 Vol.
2%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$30,781 Vol.
2%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$28,686 Vol.
2%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$28,686 Vol.
2%
Trump - USA President
$46,002 Vol.
1%
Trump - USA President
$46,002 Vol.
1%
Putin - Russia President
$37,527 Vol.
1%
Putin - Russia President
$37,527 Vol.
1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$31,410 Vol.
1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$31,410 Vol.
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$28,984 Vol.
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$28,984 Vol.
1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$45,053 Vol.
1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$45,053 Vol.
1%
None before 2027
$30,075 Vol.
1%
None before 2027
$30,075 Vol.
1%
Starmer - UK PM
$28,300 Vol.
1%
Starmer - UK PM
$28,300 Vol.
1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$23,954 Vol.
1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$23,954 Vol.
1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$31,141 Vol.
1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$31,141 Vol.
1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$29,398 Vol.
1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$29,398 Vol.
1%
Macron - France President
$23,047 Vol.
1%
Macron - France President
$23,047 Vol.
1%
Petro - Colombia President
$34,441 Vol.
1%
Petro - Colombia President
$34,441 Vol.
1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$30,398 Vol.
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$30,398 Vol.
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$57,751 Vol.
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$57,751 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$25,582 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$25,582 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$28,326 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$28,326 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$19,887 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$19,887 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$54,856 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$54,856 Vol.
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$22,381 Vol.
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$22,381 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$28,628 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$28,628 Vol.
<1%
Rules
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jan 5, 2026, 8:12 PM UTC
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$912,123 Vol.
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Schoof - Netherlands PM 47%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 27%
Lecornu - France PM 7.8%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President 5.0%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
47%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
27%
Lecornu - France PM
8%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
5%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
2%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
2%
Takaichi - Japan PM
2%
Trump - USA President
1%
Putin - Russia President
1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
1%
None before 2027
1%
Starmer - UK PM
1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
1%
Macron - France President
1%
Petro - Colombia President
1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
<1%
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
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