Vivek Ramaswamy secured a decisive victory in Ohio's May 5 Republican primary for governor, earning roughly 82 percent of the vote against challenger Casey Putsch and establishing a margin that aligns closely with current trader pricing. Strong endorsements from President Trump and term-limited Governor Mike DeWine, combined with Ramaswamy's record fundraising and statewide name recognition from his prior presidential bid, allowed him to dominate without significant opposition spending or attacks. Traders see little room for deviation because official results have already confirmed the outcome, though an unexpected recount or late certification dispute remains the only plausible path to a narrower reported margin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOhio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory
Ohio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory
Ramaswamy 60-70% 99.6%
Ramaswamy 50-60% <1%
Ramaswamy 70%+ <1%
Ramaswamy <30% <1%
$65,083 Vol.
$65,083 Vol.
May 5, 2026
Ramaswamy <30%
<1%
Ramaswamy 30-40%
<1%
Ramaswamy 40-50%
<1%
Ramaswamy 50-60%
1%
Ramaswamy 60-70%
100%
Ramaswamy 70%+
1%
Other
<1%
Ramaswamy 60-70% 99.6%
Ramaswamy 50-60% <1%
Ramaswamy 70%+ <1%
Ramaswamy <30% <1%
$65,083 Vol.
$65,083 Vol.
May 5, 2026
Ramaswamy <30%
$4,024 Vol.
<1%
Ramaswamy 30-40%
$2,310 Vol.
<1%
Ramaswamy 40-50%
$2,770 Vol.
<1%
Ramaswamy 50-60%
$10,240 Vol.
1%
Ramaswamy 60-70%
$13,291 Vol.
100%
Ramaswamy 70%+
$31,127 Vol.
1%
Other
$1,321 Vol.
<1%
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Vivek Ramaswamy secured a decisive victory in Ohio's May 5 Republican primary for governor, earning roughly 82 percent of the vote against challenger Casey Putsch and establishing a margin that aligns closely with current trader pricing. Strong endorsements from President Trump and term-limited Governor Mike DeWine, combined with Ramaswamy's record fundraising and statewide name recognition from his prior presidential bid, allowed him to dominate without significant opposition spending or attacks. Traders see little room for deviation because official results have already confirmed the outcome, though an unexpected recount or late certification dispute remains the only plausible path to a narrower reported margin.
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Volume
$65,083End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Vivek Ramaswamy secured a decisive victory in Ohio's May 5 Republican primary for governor, earning roughly 82 percent of the vote against challenger Casey Putsch and establishing a margin that aligns closely with current trader pricing. Strong endorsements from President Trump and term-limited Governor Mike DeWine, combined with Ramaswamy's record fundraising and statewide name recognition from his prior presidential bid, allowed him to dominate without significant opposition spending or attacks. Traders see little room for deviation because official results have already confirmed the outcome, though an unexpected recount or late certification dispute remains the only plausible path to a narrower reported margin.
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$65,083End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vivek Ramaswamy secured a decisive victory in Ohio's May 5 Republican primary for governor, earning roughly 82 percent of the vote against challenger Casey Putsch and establishing a margin that aligns closely with current trader pricing. Strong endorsements from President Trump and term-limited Governor Mike DeWine, combined with Ramaswamy's record fundraising and statewide name recognition from his prior presidential bid, allowed him to dominate without significant opposition spending or attacks. Traders see little room for deviation because official results have already confirmed the outcome, though an unexpected recount or late certification dispute remains the only plausible path to a narrower reported margin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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