Pete Hegseth remains in his role as secretary of war with no public signals of removal ahead of the September 30 deadline, as President Trump has repeatedly expressed full confidence in his leadership during the ongoing Iran conflict and recent public events such as the Arsenal of Freedom tour. Internal Pentagon changes, including the late-August resignation of Army Secretary Dan Driscoll amid disputes over officer selections and a broader series of senior military personnel actions, have not extended to the defense secretary himself. A single Republican impeachment resolution introduced in mid-September over war powers has attracted minimal support and faces procedural barriers before congressional recess. Trader consensus at 98.8% for “No” reflects this sustained White House backing and absence of near-term catalysts for change. Late developments such as a major escalation in the Iran theater or an unforeseen personnel or legal issue could theoretically shift dynamics, though none appear imminent within the narrow window.