Republican majorities in both the House and Senate create formidable procedural barriers to advancing any impeachment resolution against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth before June 30. House Democrats introduced multiple articles in April citing unauthorized military actions in Iran and related conduct, yet these measures were referred to committee with no further action and face certain defeat under current partisan control. Traders assign only a 4.5% implied probability to passage because historical patterns show impeachment requires cross-aisle support that remains absent, while no scheduled floor votes, committee markups, or midterm shifts fall inside the resolution window. Late developments such as newly disclosed evidence or sudden Republican defections could still alter the trajectory, though none have materialized in the past month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
$156,750 Vol.
$156,750 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$156,750 Vol.
$156,750 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Republican majorities in both the House and Senate create formidable procedural barriers to advancing any impeachment resolution against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth before June 30. House Democrats introduced multiple articles in April citing unauthorized military actions in Iran and related conduct, yet these measures were referred to committee with no further action and face certain defeat under current partisan control. Traders assign only a 4.5% implied probability to passage because historical patterns show impeachment requires cross-aisle support that remains absent, while no scheduled floor votes, committee markups, or midterm shifts fall inside the resolution window. Late developments such as newly disclosed evidence or sudden Republican defections could still alter the trajectory, though none have materialized in the past month.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 10:27 PM ET
Volume
$156,750End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 10:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Republican majorities in both the House and Senate create formidable procedural barriers to advancing any impeachment resolution against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth before June 30. House Democrats introduced multiple articles in April citing unauthorized military actions in Iran and related conduct, yet these measures were referred to committee with no further action and face certain defeat under current partisan control. Traders assign only a 4.5% implied probability to passage because historical patterns show impeachment requires cross-aisle support that remains absent, while no scheduled floor votes, committee markups, or midterm shifts fall inside the resolution window. Late developments such as newly disclosed evidence or sudden Republican defections could still alter the trajectory, though none have materialized in the past month.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$156,750End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 10:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in both the House and Senate create formidable procedural barriers to advancing any impeachment resolution against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth before June 30. House Democrats introduced multiple articles in April citing unauthorized military actions in Iran and related conduct, yet these measures were referred to committee with no further action and face certain defeat under current partisan control. Traders assign only a 4.5% implied probability to passage because historical patterns show impeachment requires cross-aisle support that remains absent, while no scheduled floor votes, committee markups, or midterm shifts fall inside the resolution window. Late developments such as newly disclosed evidence or sudden Republican defections could still alter the trajectory, though none have materialized in the past month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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