Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 2nd Place

Name: Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 2nd Place
Start: 2025-12-03T21:04:52.065711Z
End: 2026-01-25T00:00:00Z

$1,098,716 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 27.0%

André Ventura (CH) 24%

António José Seguro (IND) 23.1%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 18%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
$52,226 Vol.
27%

André Ventura (CH)
$25,558 Vol.
24%

António José Seguro (IND)
$27,292 Vol.
23%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$36,532 Vol.
18%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$21,709 Vol.
8%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$42,539 Vol.
<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$57,708 Vol.
<1%

António Filipe (PCP)
$52,115 Vol.
<1%

André Pestana (IND)
$102,078 Vol.
<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$48,791 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$43,027 Vol.
<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$45,696 Vol.
<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$37,114 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$34,349 Vol.
<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)
$36,432 Vol.
<1%

Manuel João Vieira
$24,290 Vol.
<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$53,030 Vol.
<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$37,859 Vol.
<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$39,742 Vol.
<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$43,656 Vol.
<1%

Jorge Pinto
$101,223 Vol.
<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)
$49,730 Vol.
<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)
$56,919 Vol.
<1%

Humberto Correia
$29,101 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the second-highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Created At: Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC

Volume

$1,098,716

End Date

Jan 25, 2026

Created At

Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$1,098,716 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 2nd Place

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 27.0%

André Ventura (CH) 24%

António José Seguro (IND) 23.1%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 18%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$52,226 Vol.

27%

André Ventura (CH)

$25,558 Vol.

24%

António José Seguro (IND)

$27,292 Vol.

23%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$36,532 Vol.

18%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$21,709 Vol.

Tim Vieira (IND)

$42,539 Vol.

<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$57,708 Vol.

<1%

António Filipe (PCP)

$52,115 Vol.

<1%

André Pestana (IND)

$102,078 Vol.

<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)

$48,791 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$43,027 Vol.

<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$45,696 Vol.

<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$37,114 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$34,349 Vol.

<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)

$36,432 Vol.

<1%

Manuel João Vieira

$24,290 Vol.

<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$53,030 Vol.

<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$37,859 Vol.

<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$39,742 Vol.

<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)

$43,656 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Pinto

$101,223 Vol.

<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)

$49,730 Vol.

<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)

$56,919 Vol.

<1%

Humberto Correia

$29,101 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$1,098,716

End Date

Jan 25, 2026

Created At

Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

41%

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

37%

Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

66%

Beware of external links.

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 2nd Place