Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?

Name: Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?
Start: 2025-11-26T15:13:10.41308Z
End: 2026-01-18T00:00:00Z

$865,810 Vol.

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

André Ventura (CH)
$200,970 Vol.
66%

António José Seguro (IND)
$83,565 Vol.
54%

João Cotrim de Figueiredo
$263,233 Vol.
48%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$239,115 Vol.
25%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$41,420 Vol.
12%

Manuel João Vieira
$14,587 Vol.
1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$151 Vol.
1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$241 Vol.
1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$277 Vol.
<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$334 Vol.
<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$868 Vol.
<1%

Humberto Correia
$9,827 Vol.
<1%

António Filipe (PCP)
$607 Vol.
<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$205 Vol.
<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$1,298 Vol.
<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$319 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$256 Vol.
<1%

Catarina Martins
$7,320 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$175 Vol.
<1%

Jorge Pinto
$187 Vol.
<1%

André Pestana (IND)
$501 Vol.
<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$353 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. The two candidates with the greatest number of votes in the first round will advance to the second round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidates that qualify for the second round of this election.

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

If a candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Created At: Nov 26, 2025, 3:04 PM UTC

Volume

$865,810

End Date

Jan 18, 2026

Created At

Nov 26, 2025, 3:04 PM UTC

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Beware of external links.

$865,810 Vol.

Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

André Ventura (CH)

$200,970 Vol.

66%

António José Seguro (IND)

$83,565 Vol.

54%

João Cotrim de Figueiredo

$263,233 Vol.

48%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$239,115 Vol.

25%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$41,420 Vol.

12%

Manuel João Vieira

$14,587 Vol.

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$151 Vol.

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$241 Vol.

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$277 Vol.

<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)

$334 Vol.

<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$868 Vol.

<1%

Humberto Correia

$9,827 Vol.

<1%

António Filipe (PCP)

$607 Vol.

<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)

$205 Vol.

<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)

$1,298 Vol.

<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$319 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$256 Vol.

<1%

Catarina Martins

$7,320 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$175 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Pinto

$187 Vol.

<1%

André Pestana (IND)

$501 Vol.

<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$353 Vol.

<1%

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