The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections for National Assembly seats with overwhelming trader consensus, driven by President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval ratings near 60 percent and consistent polling leads in key districts such as Seoul and Busan. Recent candidate registration and campaign data show the party contesting nearly all vacancies alongside local races, capitalizing on opposition fragmentation within the People Power Party and lingering effects from prior conservative setbacks. This positioning reflects broad voter sentiment favoring the ruling party’s legislative momentum. Potential shifts remain possible if turnout surprises occur in competitive districts, late scandals emerge, or independent conservative challengers consolidate support, though such outcomes have shown limited movement in current surveys.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSouth Korea By-Elections: Party Winner
South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) 97.4%
People Power Party (PPP) 2.8%
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) <1%
Progressive Party (PP) <1%
$44,225 Vol.
$44,225 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
People Power Party (PPP)
3%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP)
97%
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP)
<1%
Progressive Party (PP)
<1%
Reform Party (RP)
<1%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) 97.4%
People Power Party (PPP) 2.8%
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) <1%
Progressive Party (PP) <1%
$44,225 Vol.
$44,225 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
People Power Party (PPP)
$1,903 Vol.
3%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP)
$2,751 Vol.
97%
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP)
$16,585 Vol.
<1%
Progressive Party (PP)
$1,113 Vol.
<1%
Reform Party (RP)
$21,873 Vol.
<1%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections for National Assembly seats with overwhelming trader consensus, driven by President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval ratings near 60 percent and consistent polling leads in key districts such as Seoul and Busan. Recent candidate registration and campaign data show the party contesting nearly all vacancies alongside local races, capitalizing on opposition fragmentation within the People Power Party and lingering effects from prior conservative setbacks. This positioning reflects broad voter sentiment favoring the ruling party’s legislative momentum. Potential shifts remain possible if turnout surprises occur in competitive districts, late scandals emerge, or independent conservative challengers consolidate support, though such outcomes have shown limited movement in current surveys.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Market Opened: Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Volume
$44,225End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections for National Assembly seats with overwhelming trader consensus, driven by President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval ratings near 60 percent and consistent polling leads in key districts such as Seoul and Busan. Recent candidate registration and campaign data show the party contesting nearly all vacancies alongside local races, capitalizing on opposition fragmentation within the People Power Party and lingering effects from prior conservative setbacks. This positioning reflects broad voter sentiment favoring the ruling party’s legislative momentum. Potential shifts remain possible if turnout surprises occur in competitive districts, late scandals emerge, or independent conservative challengers consolidate support, though such outcomes have shown limited movement in current surveys.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Volume
$44,225End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections for National Assembly seats with overwhelming trader consensus, driven by President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval ratings near 60 percent and consistent polling leads in key districts such as Seoul and Busan. Recent candidate registration and campaign data show the party contesting nearly all vacancies alongside local races, capitalizing on opposition fragmentation within the People Power Party and lingering effects from prior conservative setbacks. This positioning reflects broad voter sentiment favoring the ruling party’s legislative momentum. Potential shifts remain possible if turnout surprises occur in competitive districts, late scandals emerge, or independent conservative challengers consolidate support, though such outcomes have shown limited movement in current surveys.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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