Former Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-TX) resigned from Congress in mid-April 2026 amid a House Ethics Committee investigation into allegations of sexual misconduct, including an admitted extramarital affair with a former staffer who later died by suicide and explicit text messages to a second staffer. Bipartisan calls for expulsion prompted his exit, ending the ethics probe without sanctions, as confirmed on April 20. No DOJ, FBI, or other criminal investigations have been reported in the month since, despite the allegations' gravity, reflecting trader consensus at 65% "No" on charges by June 30 amid absence of prosecutorial action or new developments. The congressional ethics process, rather than federal criminal jurisdiction, has defined resolution to date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFor the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 25, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Former Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-TX) resigned from Congress in mid-April 2026 amid a House Ethics Committee investigation into allegations of sexual misconduct, including an admitted extramarital affair with a former staffer who later died by suicide and explicit text messages to a second staffer. Bipartisan calls for expulsion prompted his exit, ending the ethics probe without sanctions, as confirmed on April 20. No DOJ, FBI, or other criminal investigations have been reported in the month since, despite the allegations' gravity, reflecting trader consensus at 65% "No" on charges by June 30 amid absence of prosecutorial action or new developments. The congressional ethics process, rather than federal criminal jurisdiction, has defined resolution to date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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