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UFC Freedom 250: Submissions O/U 1.5

icon for UFC Freedom 250: Submissions O/U 1.5

UFC Freedom 250: Submissions O/U 1.5

Over 1.5

42% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Over 1.5

42% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Over 1.5" if there are more than 1.5 total submissions during the main card of UFC Freedom 250 scheduled for June 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Under 1.5". A submission will be determined according to the official rules of the UFC. Knockdowns, takedowns or knockouts, as defined by the UFC, will not be counted toward the final submission total. Only matches that result in a winner by submission will be counted in the final count. If the UFC Freedom 250 main card concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined by the official statistics as recorded by the governing body or event organizers at the time of conclusion. If official statistics are available, the market will settle based on those statistics regardless of whether the full duration of the event was completed. If UFC Freedom 250 is cancelled or postponed after June 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**UFC Freedom 250 features a main card dominated by high-level strikers and power punchers across title fights and featured bouts, which shapes the modest lean toward under 1.5 submissions.** The lightweight title clash pits Ilia Topuria’s wrestling base and finishing power against Justin Gaethje’s durable stand-up game and low submission rate, while the interim heavyweight bout between Alex Pereira and Ciryl Gane emphasizes striking exchanges with limited ground threats. Sean O’Malley vs. Aiemann Zahabi and the heavyweight pairing of Josh Hokit vs. Derrick Lewis further tilt toward KO/TKO or decision outcomes. Bo Nickal vs. Kyle Daukaus stands out as the primary submission vehicle given Nickal’s UFC record of multiple rear-naked chokes and triangles, but the rest of the lineup lacks comparable grappling volume or recent submission trends. No major late injuries or stylistic shifts have altered this profile ahead of the June 14 event, leaving trader consensus to reflect the card’s overall emphasis on stand-up finishes over extended ground work.

This market will resolve to "Over 1.5" if there are more than 1.5 total submissions during the main card of UFC Freedom 250 scheduled for June 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Under 1.5".

A submission will be determined according to the official rules of the UFC. Knockdowns, takedowns or knockouts, as defined by the UFC, will not be counted toward the final submission total. Only matches that result in a winner by submission will be counted in the final count.

If the UFC Freedom 250 main card concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined by the official statistics as recorded by the governing body or event organizers at the time of conclusion. If official statistics are available, the market will settle based on those statistics regardless of whether the full duration of the event was completed.

If UFC Freedom 250 is cancelled or postponed after June 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jun 29, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 11:44 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Over 1.5" if there are more than 1.5 total submissions during the main card of UFC Freedom 250 scheduled for June 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Under 1.5". A submission will be determined according to the official rules of the UFC. Knockdowns, takedowns or knockouts, as defined by the UFC, will not be counted toward the final submission total. Only matches that result in a winner by submission will be counted in the final count. If the UFC Freedom 250 main card concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined by the official statistics as recorded by the governing body or event organizers at the time of conclusion. If official statistics are available, the market will settle based on those statistics regardless of whether the full duration of the event was completed. If UFC Freedom 250 is cancelled or postponed after June 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Over 1.5" if there are more than 1.5 total submissions during the main card of UFC Freedom 250 scheduled for June 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Under 1.5". A submission will be determined according to the official rules of the UFC. Knockdowns, takedowns or knockouts, as defined by the UFC, will not be counted toward the final submission total. Only matches that result in a winner by submission will be counted in the final count. If the UFC Freedom 250 main card concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined by the official statistics as recorded by the governing body or event organizers at the time of conclusion. If official statistics are available, the market will settle based on those statistics regardless of whether the full duration of the event was completed. If UFC Freedom 250 is cancelled or postponed after June 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**UFC Freedom 250 features a main card dominated by high-level strikers and power punchers across title fights and featured bouts, which shapes the modest lean toward under 1.5 submissions.** The lightweight title clash pits Ilia Topuria’s wrestling base and finishing power against Justin Gaethje’s durable stand-up game and low submission rate, while the interim heavyweight bout between Alex Pereira and Ciryl Gane emphasizes striking exchanges with limited ground threats. Sean O’Malley vs. Aiemann Zahabi and the heavyweight pairing of Josh Hokit vs. Derrick Lewis further tilt toward KO/TKO or decision outcomes. Bo Nickal vs. Kyle Daukaus stands out as the primary submission vehicle given Nickal’s UFC record of multiple rear-naked chokes and triangles, but the rest of the lineup lacks comparable grappling volume or recent submission trends. No major late injuries or stylistic shifts have altered this profile ahead of the June 14 event, leaving trader consensus to reflect the card’s overall emphasis on stand-up finishes over extended ground work.

This market will resolve to "Over 1.5" if there are more than 1.5 total submissions during the main card of UFC Freedom 250 scheduled for June 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Under 1.5".

A submission will be determined according to the official rules of the UFC. Knockdowns, takedowns or knockouts, as defined by the UFC, will not be counted toward the final submission total. Only matches that result in a winner by submission will be counted in the final count.

If the UFC Freedom 250 main card concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined by the official statistics as recorded by the governing body or event organizers at the time of conclusion. If official statistics are available, the market will settle based on those statistics regardless of whether the full duration of the event was completed.

If UFC Freedom 250 is cancelled or postponed after June 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jun 29, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 11:44 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Over 1.5" if there are more than 1.5 total submissions during the main card of UFC Freedom 250 scheduled for June 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Under 1.5". A submission will be determined according to the official rules of the UFC. Knockdowns, takedowns or knockouts, as defined by the UFC, will not be counted toward the final submission total. Only matches that result in a winner by submission will be counted in the final count. If the UFC Freedom 250 main card concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined by the official statistics as recorded by the governing body or event organizers at the time of conclusion. If official statistics are available, the market will settle based on those statistics regardless of whether the full duration of the event was completed. If UFC Freedom 250 is cancelled or postponed after June 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UFC Freedom 250: Submissions O/U 1.5" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "UFC Freedom 250: Submissions O/U 1.5" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"UFC Freedom 250: Submissions O/U 1.5" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "UFC Freedom 250: Submissions O/U 1.5," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UFC Freedom 250: Submissions O/U 1.5" is "UFC Freedom 250: Submissions O/U 1.5" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UFC Freedom 250: Submissions O/U 1.5" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.