The US capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 and the subsequent assumption of acting power by Delcy Rodríguez under Washington’s backing have anchored trader pricing in a narrow contest between continuity under the interim arrangement and residual Chavista influence tied to the former leader. Rodríguez has advanced oil-sector agreements, amnesty measures, limited prisoner releases, and US-backed transition talks with opposition figures through September, while managing post-earthquake recovery and cabinet reshuffles that sidelined some Maduro loyalists. With no presidential election scheduled before year-end, opposition leaders such as Edmundo González and María Corina Machado remaining in exile, and institutional reforms still incomplete, the market reflects uncertainty over whether these steps solidify Rodríguez’s position or allow competing factions or external pressures to alter the outcome by December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVenezuela leader end of 2026?
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro 53.8%
Delcy Rodríguez 45%
No Head of State <1%
Edmundo González <1%
$97,351,390 Vol.
$97,351,390 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
54%
Delcy Rodríguez
45%
No Head of State
1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
María Corina Machado
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Nicolás Maduro 53.8%
Delcy Rodríguez 45%
No Head of State <1%
Edmundo González <1%
$97,351,390 Vol.
$97,351,390 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
$3,185,037 Vol.
54%
Delcy Rodríguez
$2,149,762 Vol.
45%
No Head of State
$1,602,207 Vol.
1%
Edmundo González
$1,300,080 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$881,110 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$1,482,733 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$1,229,866 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$9,268,969 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$25,854,687 Vol.
<1%
María Corina Machado
$1,518,975 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$2,126,510 Vol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$3,001,708 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$1,149,161 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$5,655,665 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$4,154,186 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$32,790,733 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The US capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 and the subsequent assumption of acting power by Delcy Rodríguez under Washington’s backing have anchored trader pricing in a narrow contest between continuity under the interim arrangement and residual Chavista influence tied to the former leader. Rodríguez has advanced oil-sector agreements, amnesty measures, limited prisoner releases, and US-backed transition talks with opposition figures through September, while managing post-earthquake recovery and cabinet reshuffles that sidelined some Maduro loyalists. With no presidential election scheduled before year-end, opposition leaders such as Edmundo González and María Corina Machado remaining in exile, and institutional reforms still incomplete, the market reflects uncertainty over whether these steps solidify Rodríguez’s position or allow competing factions or external pressures to alter the outcome by December 31.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$97,351,390End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The US capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 and the subsequent assumption of acting power by Delcy Rodríguez under Washington’s backing have anchored trader pricing in a narrow contest between continuity under the interim arrangement and residual Chavista influence tied to the former leader. Rodríguez has advanced oil-sector agreements, amnesty measures, limited prisoner releases, and US-backed transition talks with opposition figures through September, while managing post-earthquake recovery and cabinet reshuffles that sidelined some Maduro loyalists. With no presidential election scheduled before year-end, opposition leaders such as Edmundo González and María Corina Machado remaining in exile, and institutional reforms still incomplete, the market reflects uncertainty over whether these steps solidify Rodríguez’s position or allow competing factions or external pressures to alter the outcome by December 31.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volume
$97,351,390End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The US capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 and the subsequent assumption of acting power by Delcy Rodríguez under Washington’s backing have anchored trader pricing in a narrow contest between continuity under the interim arrangement and residual Chavista influence tied to the former leader. Rodríguez has advanced oil-sector agreements, amnesty measures, limited prisoner releases, and US-backed transition talks with opposition figures through September, while managing post-earthquake recovery and cabinet reshuffles that sidelined some Maduro loyalists. With no presidential election scheduled before year-end, opposition leaders such as Edmundo González and María Corina Machado remaining in exile, and institutional reforms still incomplete, the market reflects uncertainty over whether these steps solidify Rodríguez’s position or allow competing factions or external pressures to alter the outcome by December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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