Diplomatic momentum centers on expanding the Abraham Accords framework and bilateral security talks, with recent steps including Israel and Morocco's September 2026 agreement to exchange ambassadors and open full embassies, plus Kazakhstan's 2025 accession and ongoing Israel-Syria security negotiations under the post-Assad government. Saudi Arabia and several other non-recognizers continue to condition formal recognition on progress toward a Palestinian state, while public and regional opposition remains elevated following the Gaza conflict. Traders assess near-term additions by December 31 against these diplomatic tracks, U.S. engagement, and any breakthroughs in talks with holdouts such as Saudi Arabia, Syria, or Indonesia.