**Ahmed al-Sharaa remains Syria’s transitional president, appointed in January 2025 for a five-year mandate under the constitutional declaration, with no verified developments indicating removal by the end of 2026.** Recent actions reinforcing stability include a May 2026 cabinet and administrative reshuffle addressing internal criticism, plus security operations dismantling Hezbollah-linked cells. International sanctions on al-Sharaa and HTS were lifted in late 2025, followed by high-level diplomacy including a White House meeting with President Trump and engagement with Arab states and Turkey. These steps reflect consolidated authority and external backing, while ongoing efforts to integrate factions like the SDF and manage sectarian tensions have not produced leadership challenges capable of altering the transition timeline. Trader consensus at 87.5% for “No” aligns with the absence of credible ouster signals within the structured interim framework.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
$62,126 Vol.
$62,126 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$62,126 Vol.
$62,126 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ahmed al-Sharaa remains Syria’s transitional president, appointed in January 2025 for a five-year mandate under the constitutional declaration, with no verified developments indicating removal by the end of 2026.**
Recent actions reinforcing stability include a May 2026 cabinet and administrative reshuffle addressing internal criticism, plus security operations dismantling Hezbollah-linked cells. International sanctions on al-Sharaa and HTS were lifted in late 2025, followed by high-level diplomacy including a White House meeting with President Trump and engagement with Arab states and Turkey.
These steps reflect consolidated authority and external backing, while ongoing efforts to integrate factions like the SDF and manage sectarian tensions have not produced leadership challenges capable of altering the transition timeline. Trader consensus at 87.5% for “No” aligns with the absence of credible ouster signals within the structured interim framework.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET
Volume
$62,126End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ahmed al-Sharaa remains Syria’s transitional president, appointed in January 2025 for a five-year mandate under the constitutional declaration, with no verified developments indicating removal by the end of 2026.**
Recent actions reinforcing stability include a May 2026 cabinet and administrative reshuffle addressing internal criticism, plus security operations dismantling Hezbollah-linked cells. International sanctions on al-Sharaa and HTS were lifted in late 2025, followed by high-level diplomacy including a White House meeting with President Trump and engagement with Arab states and Turkey.
These steps reflect consolidated authority and external backing, while ongoing efforts to integrate factions like the SDF and manage sectarian tensions have not produced leadership challenges capable of altering the transition timeline. Trader consensus at 87.5% for “No” aligns with the absence of credible ouster signals within the structured interim framework.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,126End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Ahmed al-Sharaa remains Syria’s transitional president, appointed in January 2025 for a five-year mandate under the constitutional declaration, with no verified developments indicating removal by the end of 2026.** Recent actions reinforcing stability include a May 2026 cabinet and administrative reshuffle addressing internal criticism, plus security operations dismantling Hezbollah-linked cells. International sanctions on al-Sharaa and HTS were lifted in late 2025, followed by high-level diplomacy including a White House meeting with President Trump and engagement with Arab states and Turkey. These steps reflect consolidated authority and external backing, while ongoing efforts to integrate factions like the SDF and manage sectarian tensions have not produced leadership challenges capable of altering the transition timeline. Trader consensus at 87.5% for “No” aligns with the absence of credible ouster signals within the structured interim framework.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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