Several states are pursuing mid-decade congressional redistricting ahead of the 2026 House elections, driven primarily by Republican-led efforts in response to President Trump’s calls for map adjustments to strengthen their slim majority. A late-April 2026 Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais invalidated the state’s map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting additional redraws and primary delays in affected states while clarifying limits on using race in districting. As of mid-May, finalized new maps exist in California, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah, with Alabama, Louisiana, and South Carolina advancing changes through legislative or court processes. Ongoing litigation in multiple states, including challenges to timing and procedure, continues to shape which maps will govern November contests, as candidate filing deadlines approach in several jurisdictions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$262,061 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
California
97%
Texas
93%
North Carolina
98%
Ohio
93%
Utah
88%
Florida
64%
Louisiana
90%
Missouri
86%
Virginia
7%
Alabama
79%
South Carolina
81%
Georgia
27%
Kansas
9%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
8%
Nebraska
6%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
13%
Maryland
17%
Wisconsin
6%
$262,061 Vol.
California
$12,000 Vol.
97%
Texas
$5,035 Vol.
93%
North Carolina
$8,686 Vol.
98%
Ohio
$6,040 Vol.
93%
Utah
$61,108 Vol.
88%
Florida
$1,177 Vol.
64%
Louisiana
$15,717 Vol.
90%
Missouri
$3,904 Vol.
86%
Virginia
$6,915 Vol.
7%
Alabama
$14,782 Vol.
79%
South Carolina
$21,995 Vol.
81%
Georgia
$3,063 Vol.
27%
Kansas
$5,162 Vol.
9%
New Jersey
$5,044 Vol.
6%
Indiana
$28,282 Vol.
6%
Washington
$5,325 Vol.
8%
Nebraska
$6,500 Vol.
6%
Illinois
$10,019 Vol.
3%
Minnesota
$9,398 Vol.
3%
New York
$8,026 Vol.
13%
Maryland
$8,668 Vol.
17%
Wisconsin
$15,218 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Several states are pursuing mid-decade congressional redistricting ahead of the 2026 House elections, driven primarily by Republican-led efforts in response to President Trump’s calls for map adjustments to strengthen their slim majority. A late-April 2026 Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais invalidated the state’s map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting additional redraws and primary delays in affected states while clarifying limits on using race in districting. As of mid-May, finalized new maps exist in California, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah, with Alabama, Louisiana, and South Carolina advancing changes through legislative or court processes. Ongoing litigation in multiple states, including challenges to timing and procedure, continues to shape which maps will govern November contests, as candidate filing deadlines approach in several jurisdictions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Volume
$262,061End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Several states are pursuing mid-decade congressional redistricting ahead of the 2026 House elections, driven primarily by Republican-led efforts in response to President Trump’s calls for map adjustments to strengthen their slim majority. A late-April 2026 Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais invalidated the state’s map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting additional redraws and primary delays in affected states while clarifying limits on using race in districting. As of mid-May, finalized new maps exist in California, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah, with Alabama, Louisiana, and South Carolina advancing changes through legislative or court processes. Ongoing litigation in multiple states, including challenges to timing and procedure, continues to shape which maps will govern November contests, as candidate filing deadlines approach in several jurisdictions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$262,061End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Several states are pursuing mid-decade congressional redistricting ahead of the 2026 House elections, driven primarily by Republican-led efforts in response to President Trump’s calls for map adjustments to strengthen their slim majority. A late-April 2026 Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais invalidated the state’s map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting additional redraws and primary delays in affected states while clarifying limits on using race in districting. As of mid-May, finalized new maps exist in California, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah, with Alabama, Louisiana, and South Carolina advancing changes through legislative or court processes. Ongoing litigation in multiple states, including challenges to timing and procedure, continues to shape which maps will govern November contests, as candidate filing deadlines approach in several jurisdictions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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