The Virginia Supreme Court’s May 8, 2026, 4-3 ruling invalidated the constitutional amendment and accompanying Democratic-drawn congressional map on procedural grounds, as the legislature failed to meet the state constitution’s requirement for two properly separated sessions before placing the measure on the ballot. The U.S. Supreme Court declined to intervene, leaving the 2021 court-drawn districts in place. With the November midterms weeks away, no alternative legislative process, commission action, or referendum has advanced far enough to produce a new map in time. Trader consensus at 97.5% reflects these binding legal and calendar barriers, though a narrow window remains for an unexpected emergency ruling or accelerated special-session vote that could theoretically alter the timeline before Election Day.