Skip to main content
icon for New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Senate Primary

New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner

icon for New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Senate Primary

New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner

Richard Tabor 54%

Alex Zdan 31%

Robert Lebovics 3.6%

Justin Murphy 1.8%

Polymarket

$418,770 Vol.

Richard Tabor 54%

Alex Zdan 31%

Robert Lebovics 3.6%

Justin Murphy 1.8%

Polymarket

$418,770 Vol.

Richard Tabor

$6,757 Vol.

54%

Alex Zdan

$6,067 Vol.

31%

Robert Lebovics

$256,329 Vol.

4%

Justin Murphy

$6,712 Vol.

2%

Steven Boston

$81,126 Vol.

1%

Natalie Rivera

$44,600 Vol.

<1%

Vinnie Brand

$15,730 Vol.

<1%

Alina Habba

$1,449 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Richard Tabor at 53.5% to win New Jersey's Republican U.S. Senate primary on June 2, driven by his edge in county party endorsements that secure advantageous ballot positions under the state's influential county line system, which historically dominates primary outcomes. Tabor holds lines in key populous counties including Ocean, Middlesex, Atlantic, Hunterdon, Somerset, and Union—bolstered by an April 14 court ruling blocking rival Alex Zdan's claim to the latter. Zdan, at 35%, counters with endorsements in Monmouth and Burlington but trails in organizational strength amid low overall fundraising. Robert Lebovics gained a niche Lakewood Vaad nod May 14, though others lag. Absent polls, party infrastructure shapes probabilities ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey.

If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$418,770
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 12:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Richard Tabor at 53.5% to win New Jersey's Republican U.S. Senate primary on June 2, driven by his edge in county party endorsements that secure advantageous ballot positions under the state's influential county line system, which historically dominates primary outcomes. Tabor holds lines in key populous counties including Ocean, Middlesex, Atlantic, Hunterdon, Somerset, and Union—bolstered by an April 14 court ruling blocking rival Alex Zdan's claim to the latter. Zdan, at 35%, counters with endorsements in Monmouth and Burlington but trails in organizational strength amid low overall fundraising. Robert Lebovics gained a niche Lakewood Vaad nod May 14, though others lag. Absent polls, party infrastructure shapes probabilities ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey.

If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$418,770
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 12:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Related

icon for New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

51%
icon for Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

31%
icon for Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

38%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Richard Tabor" at 54%, followed by "Alex Zdan" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner" has generated $418.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Richard Tabor" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alex Zdan" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.