This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Graham Platner's commanding lead in the Maine Democratic U.S. Senate primary stems from incumbent Governor Janet Mills suspending her campaign on April 30, 2026, after trailing him by nearly 40 points in polls and lagging in fundraising—$12 million raised by the oyster farmer veteran versus her $5.4 million. This cleared the field for the anti-establishment progressive, who dominated the May 2 state party convention and kicked off early voting on May 11 by casting the first ballot. Remaining challengers like Dan Kleban, Chellie Pingree, Jared Golden, and Troy Jackson command negligible support amid Platner's small-dollar donor momentum. While trader consensus prices him near-certain at 98.8¢ implied probability, disruptions like a late Mills re-entry, scandal, or unforeseen voter turnout surge among independents could theoretically shift dynamics before the June primary.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Graham Platner's commanding lead in the Maine Democratic U.S. Senate primary stems from incumbent Governor Janet Mills suspending her campaign on April 30, 2026, after trailing him by nearly 40 points in polls and lagging in fundraising—$12 million raised by the oyster farmer veteran versus her $5.4 million. This cleared the field for the anti-establishment progressive, who dominated the May 2 state party convention and kicked off early voting on May 11 by casting the first ballot. Remaining challengers like Dan Kleban, Chellie Pingree, Jared Golden, and Troy Jackson command negligible support amid Platner's small-dollar donor momentum. While trader consensus prices him near-certain at 98.8¢ implied probability, disruptions like a late Mills re-entry, scandal, or unforeseen voter turnout surge among independents could theoretically shift dynamics before the June primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
May 1 2026
Platner withdraws from Democratic primary debates, focusing on general election matchup;
Graham Platner jumps to 99%7%
receives endorsement from Maine AFL-CIO, strengthening labor union support
Jan 20 2026
Wood gives a Newsweek interview emphasizing “generational change” and anti‑corruption themes, but the story receives limited coverage as the primary field solidifies around
Wood gives a Newsweek interview emphasizing “generational change” and anti‑corruption themes, but the story receives limited coverage as the primary field solidifies around Platner and Mills, providing no measurable boost to his odds
Nov 12 2025
Wood announces he is dropping out of the Senate race to run for Rep.
Jordan Wood dips to 0%1%
Golden’s open House seat after Golden’s retirement, effectively ending his primary chances
Nov 12 2025
Maine Democrat Jordan Wood ends his Senate campaign to run for Jared Golden’s vacated House seat, signaling Golden’s exit from the Senate race and further confirming his
Jared Golden drops to 2%7%
Maine Democrat Jordan Wood ends his Senate campaign to run for Jared Golden’s vacated House seat, signaling Golden’s exit from the Senate race and further confirming his non-candidacy
Nov 5 2025
Jared Golden announces he will not seek re-election in 2026, citing hyper-partisanship and a desire to focus on family;
Jared Golden plunges to 9%41%
this announcement effectively ended his Senate primary prospects and caused a sharp market drop from 50% to near 0%
Oct 15 2025
Dan Kleban, a prominent Maine Democrat, drops out and endorses Mills, signaling establishment consolidation, but Graham Platner and Jordan Wood remain in the race, indicating a
Janet Mills jumps to 60%5%
Dan Kleban, a prominent Maine Democrat, drops out and endorses Mills, signaling establishment consolidation, but Graham Platner and Jordan Wood remain in the race, indicating a contested primary
Oct 14 2025
Maine Gov. Janet Mills officially enters the U.S.
Janet Mills jumps to 55%10%
Senate race against incumbent Susan Collins, backed by Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer and Democratic establishment, raising $1 million in the first 24 hours
Sep 18 2025
University of New Hampshire poll shows Graham Platner leading Maine Democratic Senate primary by 34 points despite recent controversies over past online posts and a tattoo
Graham Platner surges to 53%19%
University of New Hampshire poll shows Graham Platner leading Maine Democratic Senate primary by 34 points despite recent controversies over past online posts and a tattoo resembling Nazi symbolism
Apr 15 2025
Jordan Wood becomes the first Democrat to file for the 2026 Maine U.S.
Jordan Wood drops to 38%12%
Senate primary, positioning himself as an anti‑Trump, anti‑Musk outsider
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Graham Platner's commanding lead in the Maine Democratic U.S. Senate primary stems from incumbent Governor Janet Mills suspending her campaign on April 30, 2026, after trailing him by nearly 40 points in polls and lagging in fundraising—$12 million raised by the oyster farmer veteran versus her $5.4 million. This cleared the field for the anti-establishment progressive, who dominated the May 2 state party convention and kicked off early voting on May 11 by casting the first ballot. Remaining challengers like Dan Kleban, Chellie Pingree, Jared Golden, and Troy Jackson command negligible support amid Platner's small-dollar donor momentum. While trader consensus prices him near-certain at 98.8¢ implied probability, disruptions like a late Mills re-entry, scandal, or unforeseen voter turnout surge among independents could theoretically shift dynamics before the June primary.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Graham Platner's commanding lead in the Maine Democratic U.S. Senate primary stems from incumbent Governor Janet Mills suspending her campaign on April 30, 2026, after trailing him by nearly 40 points in polls and lagging in fundraising—$12 million raised by the oyster farmer veteran versus her $5.4 million. This cleared the field for the anti-establishment progressive, who dominated the May 2 state party convention and kicked off early voting on May 11 by casting the first ballot. Remaining challengers like Dan Kleban, Chellie Pingree, Jared Golden, and Troy Jackson command negligible support amid Platner's small-dollar donor momentum. While trader consensus prices him near-certain at 98.8¢ implied probability, disruptions like a late Mills re-entry, scandal, or unforeseen voter turnout surge among independents could theoretically shift dynamics before the June primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
May 1 2026
Platner withdraws from Democratic primary debates, focusing on general election matchup;
Graham Platner jumps to 99%7%
receives endorsement from Maine AFL-CIO, strengthening labor union support
Jan 20 2026
Wood gives a Newsweek interview emphasizing “generational change” and anti‑corruption themes, but the story receives limited coverage as the primary field solidifies around
Wood gives a Newsweek interview emphasizing “generational change” and anti‑corruption themes, but the story receives limited coverage as the primary field solidifies around Platner and Mills, providing no measurable boost to his odds
Nov 12 2025
Wood announces he is dropping out of the Senate race to run for Rep.
Jordan Wood dips to 0%1%
Golden’s open House seat after Golden’s retirement, effectively ending his primary chances
Nov 12 2025
Maine Democrat Jordan Wood ends his Senate campaign to run for Jared Golden’s vacated House seat, signaling Golden’s exit from the Senate race and further confirming his
Jared Golden drops to 2%7%
Maine Democrat Jordan Wood ends his Senate campaign to run for Jared Golden’s vacated House seat, signaling Golden’s exit from the Senate race and further confirming his non-candidacy
Nov 5 2025
Jared Golden announces he will not seek re-election in 2026, citing hyper-partisanship and a desire to focus on family;
Jared Golden plunges to 9%41%
this announcement effectively ended his Senate primary prospects and caused a sharp market drop from 50% to near 0%
Oct 15 2025
Dan Kleban, a prominent Maine Democrat, drops out and endorses Mills, signaling establishment consolidation, but Graham Platner and Jordan Wood remain in the race, indicating a
Janet Mills jumps to 60%5%
Dan Kleban, a prominent Maine Democrat, drops out and endorses Mills, signaling establishment consolidation, but Graham Platner and Jordan Wood remain in the race, indicating a contested primary
Oct 14 2025
Maine Gov. Janet Mills officially enters the U.S.
Janet Mills jumps to 55%10%
Senate race against incumbent Susan Collins, backed by Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer and Democratic establishment, raising $1 million in the first 24 hours
Sep 18 2025
University of New Hampshire poll shows Graham Platner leading Maine Democratic Senate primary by 34 points despite recent controversies over past online posts and a tattoo
Graham Platner surges to 53%19%
University of New Hampshire poll shows Graham Platner leading Maine Democratic Senate primary by 34 points despite recent controversies over past online posts and a tattoo resembling Nazi symbolism
Apr 15 2025
Jordan Wood becomes the first Democrat to file for the 2026 Maine U.S.
Jordan Wood drops to 38%12%
Senate primary, positioning himself as an anti‑Trump, anti‑Musk outsider
"Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Graham Platner" at 99%, followed by "Janet Mills" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $2.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Graham Platner" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Janet Mills" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.
Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $2.9 million traded on “Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
To place your first trade on "Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.
On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 99¢ for "Graham Platner" in the "Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 99% chance that "Graham Platner" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 99¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 1¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.
The "Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jun 9, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.
The "Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner" market has an active community of 37 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.
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