Trader consensus heavily favors retired Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman as the Democratic nominee for Florida's U.S. Senate special election primary on August 18, driven by his national profile from the Trump impeachment testimony, explosive early fundraising exceeding $8 million, and endorsements like former candidate Jennifer Jenkins' January withdrawal. Qualifying concluded April 24 with challengers including Rep. Jared Moskowitz, ex-Gov. Charlie Crist, state Rep. Angie Nixon, ex-Rep. Alan Grayson, and others, but none match Vindman's resources or momentum amid scant primary polling. Low odds for rivals reflect their limited fundraising and organizational efforts. Shifts could arise from a scandal, rival endorsement surge, or late ad blitz before early voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlexander Vindman 90.6%
Jared Moskowitz 4.0%
Charlie Crist <1%
Josh Weil <1%
$137,662 Vol.
$137,662 Vol.
Alexander Vindman
91%
Jared Moskowitz
4%
Charlie Crist
1%
Josh Weil
1%
Joey Atkins
1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
Jennifer Jenkins
<1%
Alan Grayson
<1%
Alexander Vindman 90.6%
Jared Moskowitz 4.0%
Charlie Crist <1%
Josh Weil <1%
$137,662 Vol.
$137,662 Vol.
Alexander Vindman
91%
Jared Moskowitz
4%
Charlie Crist
1%
Josh Weil
1%
Joey Atkins
1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
Jennifer Jenkins
<1%
Alan Grayson
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors retired Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman as the Democratic nominee for Florida's U.S. Senate special election primary on August 18, driven by his national profile from the Trump impeachment testimony, explosive early fundraising exceeding $8 million, and endorsements like former candidate Jennifer Jenkins' January withdrawal. Qualifying concluded April 24 with challengers including Rep. Jared Moskowitz, ex-Gov. Charlie Crist, state Rep. Angie Nixon, ex-Rep. Alan Grayson, and others, but none match Vindman's resources or momentum amid scant primary polling. Low odds for rivals reflect their limited fundraising and organizational efforts. Shifts could arise from a scandal, rival endorsement surge, or late ad blitz before early voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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