Barry Moore's lead in the latest Remington Research Group poll (May 5-7), capturing 23% among likely Republican voters ahead of Jared Hudson (20%) and Steve Marshall (16%), has driven trader consensus to price him as the clear frontrunner to win Alabama's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19. With over 40% undecided and no candidate near a majority—triggering a potential runoff—Moore's advantages in fundraising, House incumbency, high conservative ratings (96 Heritage score), and prior Trump endorsement have boosted his implied probability, while Hudson's grassroots momentum as a former Navy SEAL keeps him viable for second place. Marshall trails amid a fragmented field, heightening the risk of vote-splitting among establishment backers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBarry Moore 72%
Jared Hudson 25.7%
Steve Marshall 3.1%
Morgan Murphy <1%
$87,812 Vol.
$87,812 Vol.
Barry Moore
72%
Jared Hudson
26%
Steve Marshall
3%
Morgan Murphy
<1%
Rodney Walker
<1%
Barry Moore 72%
Jared Hudson 25.7%
Steve Marshall 3.1%
Morgan Murphy <1%
$87,812 Vol.
$87,812 Vol.
Barry Moore
72%
Jared Hudson
26%
Steve Marshall
3%
Morgan Murphy
<1%
Rodney Walker
<1%
If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Barry Moore's lead in the latest Remington Research Group poll (May 5-7), capturing 23% among likely Republican voters ahead of Jared Hudson (20%) and Steve Marshall (16%), has driven trader consensus to price him as the clear frontrunner to win Alabama's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19. With over 40% undecided and no candidate near a majority—triggering a potential runoff—Moore's advantages in fundraising, House incumbency, high conservative ratings (96 Heritage score), and prior Trump endorsement have boosted his implied probability, while Hudson's grassroots momentum as a former Navy SEAL keeps him viable for second place. Marshall trails amid a fragmented field, heightening the risk of vote-splitting among establishment backers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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