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icon for Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner

icon for Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner

$16,978 Vol.

Polymarket

$16,978 Vol.

Raymond McKay

$4,226 Vol.

93%

Allen Waters

$12,752 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island. If no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Raymond McKay commands 91.5% trader consensus in the Rhode Island Republican U.S. Senate primary due to his established profile as a U.S. Army veteran, Warwick businessman, and prior 2024 GOP primary contender, providing superior name recognition and campaign infrastructure in a low-turnout contest scheduled for September 9, 2026.** Allen Waters trails at 2.4% as a perennial candidate with repeated unsuccessful runs, including a February 2026 independent bid for Providence mayor that signals divided focus and limited Senate momentum. Absent notable developments in the past 30 days—no new polls, endorsements, or challengers—McKay's dominance persists amid Rhode Island's small GOP primary electorate. Realistic shifts could stem from a late high-profile entrant, party endorsement reversal, fundraising surge by Waters, or scandal impacting McKay before absentee voting ramps up.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island.

If no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$16,978
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island. If no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island. If no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Raymond McKay commands 91.5% trader consensus in the Rhode Island Republican U.S. Senate primary due to his established profile as a U.S. Army veteran, Warwick businessman, and prior 2024 GOP primary contender, providing superior name recognition and campaign infrastructure in a low-turnout contest scheduled for September 9, 2026.** Allen Waters trails at 2.4% as a perennial candidate with repeated unsuccessful runs, including a February 2026 independent bid for Providence mayor that signals divided focus and limited Senate momentum. Absent notable developments in the past 30 days—no new polls, endorsements, or challengers—McKay's dominance persists amid Rhode Island's small GOP primary electorate. Realistic shifts could stem from a late high-profile entrant, party endorsement reversal, fundraising surge by Waters, or scandal impacting McKay before absentee voting ramps up.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island.

If no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$16,978
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island. If no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Raymond McKay" at 93%, followed by "Allen Waters" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner" has generated $17K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 3, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Raymond McKay" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Allen Waters" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.