Several states have enacted mid-decade congressional redistricting ahead of the 2026 House elections, with 10 states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—now set to use new maps. This wave began after Texas and others pursued partisan adjustments in 2025, prompting responses including California's voter-approved changes. The Supreme Court's May 2026 Louisiana v. Callais decision altered standards for racial considerations under the Voting Rights Act, enabling Alabama and Louisiana to finalize maps following injunction lifts and litigation in June. Most new lines favor Republican-leaning districts, though California and Utah shifts benefit Democrats. Primaries have already occurred or are concluding under updated boundaries in affected states, with November general election use now largely locked in barring further court intervention.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$394,756 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
California
98%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
94%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
93%
Virginia
8%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
<1%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
5%
New York
3%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
3%
$394,756 Vol.
California
$17,232 Vol.
98%
Texas
$19,793 Vol.
98%
North Carolina
$11,909 Vol.
96%
Ohio
$7,385 Vol.
94%
Utah
$93,640 Vol.
91%
Florida
$7,123 Vol.
98%
Louisiana
$16,019 Vol.
93%
Missouri
$5,494 Vol.
93%
Virginia
$9,836 Vol.
8%
Alabama
$16,806 Vol.
91%
South Carolina
$28,897 Vol.
<1%
Georgia
$8,469 Vol.
6%
Kansas
$7,979 Vol.
<1%
New Jersey
$6,034 Vol.
4%
Indiana
$34,183 Vol.
5%
Washington
$10,099 Vol.
3%
Nebraska
$7,515 Vol.
5%
Illinois
$11,855 Vol.
2%
Minnesota
$15,865 Vol.
5%
New York
$19,708 Vol.
3%
Maryland
$16,339 Vol.
4%
Wisconsin
$22,576 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Several states have enacted mid-decade congressional redistricting ahead of the 2026 House elections, with 10 states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—now set to use new maps. This wave began after Texas and others pursued partisan adjustments in 2025, prompting responses including California's voter-approved changes. The Supreme Court's May 2026 Louisiana v. Callais decision altered standards for racial considerations under the Voting Rights Act, enabling Alabama and Louisiana to finalize maps following injunction lifts and litigation in June. Most new lines favor Republican-leaning districts, though California and Utah shifts benefit Democrats. Primaries have already occurred or are concluding under updated boundaries in affected states, with November general election use now largely locked in barring further court intervention.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Volume
$394,756End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Several states have enacted mid-decade congressional redistricting ahead of the 2026 House elections, with 10 states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—now set to use new maps. This wave began after Texas and others pursued partisan adjustments in 2025, prompting responses including California's voter-approved changes. The Supreme Court's May 2026 Louisiana v. Callais decision altered standards for racial considerations under the Voting Rights Act, enabling Alabama and Louisiana to finalize maps following injunction lifts and litigation in June. Most new lines favor Republican-leaning districts, though California and Utah shifts benefit Democrats. Primaries have already occurred or are concluding under updated boundaries in affected states, with November general election use now largely locked in barring further court intervention.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$394,756End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Several states have enacted mid-decade congressional redistricting ahead of the 2026 House elections, with 10 states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—now set to use new maps. This wave began after Texas and others pursued partisan adjustments in 2025, prompting responses including California's voter-approved changes. The Supreme Court's May 2026 Louisiana v. Callais decision altered standards for racial considerations under the Voting Rights Act, enabling Alabama and Louisiana to finalize maps following injunction lifts and litigation in June. Most new lines favor Republican-leaning districts, though California and Utah shifts benefit Democrats. Primaries have already occurred or are concluding under updated boundaries in affected states, with November general election use now largely locked in barring further court intervention.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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