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Elections·Midterms

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Midterms

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

Adam Hamawy 75%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 10%

Susan Altman 9%

Brad Cohen 4.7%

Polymarket

$32,805 Vol.

Adam Hamawy 75%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 10%

Susan Altman 9%

Brad Cohen 4.7%

Polymarket

$32,805 Vol.

Adam Hamawy

$1,659 Vol.

75%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

$1,166 Vol.

10%

Susan Altman

$14,938 Vol.

9%

Brad Cohen

$2,026 Vol.

5%

Matthew Adams

$1,045 Vol.

2%

Kyle Little

$1,217 Vol.

1%

Elijah Dixon

$1,085 Vol.

1%

Tennille R. McCoy

$4,875 Vol.

1%

Raymond Heck

$1,385 Vol.

1%

Adrian Mapp

$1,046 Vol.

<1%

Michael Anderson

$2,364 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dr. Adam Hamawy's commanding 75% implied probability in the NJ-12 Democratic primary reflects trader consensus on his recent surge, driven by a super PAC's $1 million ad blitz that propelled him to 19% in his campaign's May 5-7 internal poll—up from 5% a month prior—amid a fragmented 13-candidate field ahead of the June 2 contest. Strong Q1 fundraising exceeding $1 million, surpassing rivals, and a Bernie Sanders endorsement have solidified his frontrunner status in the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman. Trailing Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (10% in poll) and Susan Altman (12%) benefit from local endorsements like Middlesex Democrats backing Brad Cohen, but no challenger has closed the gap in recent developments.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$32,805
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dr. Adam Hamawy's commanding 75% implied probability in the NJ-12 Democratic primary reflects trader consensus on his recent surge, driven by a super PAC's $1 million ad blitz that propelled him to 19% in his campaign's May 5-7 internal poll—up from 5% a month prior—amid a fragmented 13-candidate field ahead of the June 2 contest. Strong Q1 fundraising exceeding $1 million, surpassing rivals, and a Bernie Sanders endorsement have solidified his frontrunner status in the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman. Trailing Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (10% in poll) and Susan Altman (12%) benefit from local endorsements like Middlesex Democrats backing Brad Cohen, but no challenger has closed the gap in recent developments.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$32,805
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Adam Hamawy" at 75%, followed by "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $32.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Adam Hamawy" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.