Several Republican-led state legislatures have pursued mid-decade congressional redistricting for the 2026 midterms following the U.S. Supreme Court’s late-April 2026 ruling that struck down Louisiana’s map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander under the Voting Rights Act. This decision has prompted new maps in Texas, where the Court upheld revised lines in April that could shift up to five seats, Florida and Tennessee, both of which enacted changes in early May, plus earlier adoptions in North Carolina, Missouri, and California via voter approval. Virginia’s Supreme Court recently blocked a Democratic-backed plan, while litigation continues in states such as Louisiana and South Carolina. These developments, driven by state legislative votes, gubernatorial signatures, and court rulings, directly determine which districts will be in place for candidate filing and the November elections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$262,781 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
California
97%
Texas
94%
North Carolina
98%
Ohio
94%
Utah
88%
Florida
63%
Louisiana
91%
Missouri
86%
Virginia
7%
Alabama
80%
South Carolina
79%
Georgia
14%
Kansas
9%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
7%
Nebraska
6%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
13%
Maryland
17%
Wisconsin
5%
$262,781 Vol.
California
$12,000 Vol.
97%
Texas
$5,235 Vol.
94%
North Carolina
$8,686 Vol.
98%
Ohio
$6,230 Vol.
94%
Utah
$61,108 Vol.
88%
Florida
$1,177 Vol.
63%
Louisiana
$15,717 Vol.
91%
Missouri
$3,904 Vol.
86%
Virginia
$6,915 Vol.
7%
Alabama
$14,782 Vol.
80%
South Carolina
$22,025 Vol.
79%
Georgia
$3,063 Vol.
14%
Kansas
$5,162 Vol.
9%
New Jersey
$5,044 Vol.
6%
Indiana
$28,282 Vol.
6%
Washington
$5,625 Vol.
7%
Nebraska
$6,500 Vol.
6%
Illinois
$10,019 Vol.
3%
Minnesota
$9,398 Vol.
3%
New York
$8,026 Vol.
13%
Maryland
$8,668 Vol.
17%
Wisconsin
$15,218 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Several Republican-led state legislatures have pursued mid-decade congressional redistricting for the 2026 midterms following the U.S. Supreme Court’s late-April 2026 ruling that struck down Louisiana’s map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander under the Voting Rights Act. This decision has prompted new maps in Texas, where the Court upheld revised lines in April that could shift up to five seats, Florida and Tennessee, both of which enacted changes in early May, plus earlier adoptions in North Carolina, Missouri, and California via voter approval. Virginia’s Supreme Court recently blocked a Democratic-backed plan, while litigation continues in states such as Louisiana and South Carolina. These developments, driven by state legislative votes, gubernatorial signatures, and court rulings, directly determine which districts will be in place for candidate filing and the November elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Volume
$262,781End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Several Republican-led state legislatures have pursued mid-decade congressional redistricting for the 2026 midterms following the U.S. Supreme Court’s late-April 2026 ruling that struck down Louisiana’s map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander under the Voting Rights Act. This decision has prompted new maps in Texas, where the Court upheld revised lines in April that could shift up to five seats, Florida and Tennessee, both of which enacted changes in early May, plus earlier adoptions in North Carolina, Missouri, and California via voter approval. Virginia’s Supreme Court recently blocked a Democratic-backed plan, while litigation continues in states such as Louisiana and South Carolina. These developments, driven by state legislative votes, gubernatorial signatures, and court rulings, directly determine which districts will be in place for candidate filing and the November elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$262,781End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Several Republican-led state legislatures have pursued mid-decade congressional redistricting for the 2026 midterms following the U.S. Supreme Court’s late-April 2026 ruling that struck down Louisiana’s map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander under the Voting Rights Act. This decision has prompted new maps in Texas, where the Court upheld revised lines in April that could shift up to five seats, Florida and Tennessee, both of which enacted changes in early May, plus earlier adoptions in North Carolina, Missouri, and California via voter approval. Virginia’s Supreme Court recently blocked a Democratic-backed plan, while litigation continues in states such as Louisiana and South Carolina. These developments, driven by state legislative votes, gubernatorial signatures, and court rulings, directly determine which districts will be in place for candidate filing and the November elections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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