Several weight classes remain in flux heading into the second half of 2026, with established champions facing high-profile challengers and divisional shifts creating fresh title opportunities. Tom Aspinall holds the heavyweight belt following Jon Jones’ retirement, while an interim clash between Alex Pereira and Ciryl Gane on June 14 could accelerate movement at 265 pounds. In lightweight, Ilia Topuria’s unification bout against Justin Gaethje looms as a pivotal defense that could solidify his reign or open the door for new contenders. Recent form, injury recoveries, and roster depth in middleweight and featherweight continue to influence trader assessments of which fighters are positioned to claim belts before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$267,909 Vol.
Charles Oliveira
80%
Max Holloway
80%
Yair Rodriguez
75%
Dricus Du Plessis
70%
Sergei Pavlovich
60%
Aljamain Sterling
42%
Nassourdine Imavov
42%
Alexandre Pantoja
41%
Merab Dvalishvili
36%
Deiveson Figueiredo
35%
Arman Tsarukyan
25%
Ian Machado Garry
25%
Jiří Procházka
22%
Leon Edwards
21%
Umar Nurmagomedov
13%
Alexander Volkov
18%
Kamaru Usman
16%
Belal Muhammad
15%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
14%
Magomed Ankalaev
26%
Paddy Pimblett
11%
Cory Sandhagen
11%
Sean O'Malley
19%
Jack Della Maddalena
3%
Manel Kape
52%
Diego Lopes
35%
Ciryl Gane
41%
$267,909 Vol.
Charles Oliveira
80%
Max Holloway
80%
Yair Rodriguez
75%
Dricus Du Plessis
70%
Sergei Pavlovich
60%
Aljamain Sterling
42%
Nassourdine Imavov
42%
Alexandre Pantoja
41%
Merab Dvalishvili
36%
Deiveson Figueiredo
35%
Arman Tsarukyan
25%
Ian Machado Garry
25%
Jiří Procházka
22%
Leon Edwards
21%
Umar Nurmagomedov
13%
Alexander Volkov
18%
Kamaru Usman
16%
Belal Muhammad
15%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
14%
Magomed Ankalaev
26%
Paddy Pimblett
11%
Cory Sandhagen
11%
Sean O'Malley
19%
Jack Della Maddalena
3%
Manel Kape
52%
Diego Lopes
35%
Ciryl Gane
41%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Several weight classes remain in flux heading into the second half of 2026, with established champions facing high-profile challengers and divisional shifts creating fresh title opportunities. Tom Aspinall holds the heavyweight belt following Jon Jones’ retirement, while an interim clash between Alex Pereira and Ciryl Gane on June 14 could accelerate movement at 265 pounds. In lightweight, Ilia Topuria’s unification bout against Justin Gaethje looms as a pivotal defense that could solidify his reign or open the door for new contenders. Recent form, injury recoveries, and roster depth in middleweight and featherweight continue to influence trader assessments of which fighters are positioned to claim belts before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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