Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption and loyalty campaign within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continues to shape expectations for further high-level removals in 2026. Recent months have seen the expulsion or investigation of senior Central Military Commission figures including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, alongside Politburo member Ma Xingrui and dozens of other generals and lieutenant generals, often on charges of graft, factionalism, or ideological disloyalty. These moves have left only one general on the current CMC alongside Xi. The upcoming Fifth Plenary Session in October is expected to formalize additional Central Committee expulsions, with reports indicating more than 40 members could face removal amid broader ideological rectification efforts. In China’s opaque political system, trader assessments of potential targets hinge on patterns of past purges, signals from party meetings, and any visible shifts in elite networks ahead of the 2027 Party Congress.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$221,338 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Dong Jun
11%
Wang Yi
7%
Zhang Shengmin
5%
Zhao Leji
5%
Cai Qi
5%
Wang Huning
4%
Li Qiang
3%
Ding Xuexiang
3%
Li Xi
1%
$221,338 Vol.
Dong Jun
$40,832 Vol.
11%
Wang Yi
$15,803 Vol.
7%
Zhang Shengmin
$30,242 Vol.
5%
Zhao Leji
$12,821 Vol.
5%
Cai Qi
$51,936 Vol.
5%
Wang Huning
$12,666 Vol.
4%
Li Qiang
$10,175 Vol.
3%
Ding Xuexiang
$17,337 Vol.
3%
Li Xi
$29,526 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption and loyalty campaign within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continues to shape expectations for further high-level removals in 2026. Recent months have seen the expulsion or investigation of senior Central Military Commission figures including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, alongside Politburo member Ma Xingrui and dozens of other generals and lieutenant generals, often on charges of graft, factionalism, or ideological disloyalty. These moves have left only one general on the current CMC alongside Xi. The upcoming Fifth Plenary Session in October is expected to formalize additional Central Committee expulsions, with reports indicating more than 40 members could face removal amid broader ideological rectification efforts. In China’s opaque political system, trader assessments of potential targets hinge on patterns of past purges, signals from party meetings, and any visible shifts in elite networks ahead of the 2027 Party Congress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$221,338End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption and loyalty campaign within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continues to shape expectations for further high-level removals in 2026. Recent months have seen the expulsion or investigation of senior Central Military Commission figures including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, alongside Politburo member Ma Xingrui and dozens of other generals and lieutenant generals, often on charges of graft, factionalism, or ideological disloyalty. These moves have left only one general on the current CMC alongside Xi. The upcoming Fifth Plenary Session in October is expected to formalize additional Central Committee expulsions, with reports indicating more than 40 members could face removal amid broader ideological rectification efforts. In China’s opaque political system, trader assessments of potential targets hinge on patterns of past purges, signals from party meetings, and any visible shifts in elite networks ahead of the 2027 Party Congress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$221,338End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption and loyalty campaign within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continues to shape expectations for further high-level removals in 2026. Recent months have seen the expulsion or investigation of senior Central Military Commission figures including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, alongside Politburo member Ma Xingrui and dozens of other generals and lieutenant generals, often on charges of graft, factionalism, or ideological disloyalty. These moves have left only one general on the current CMC alongside Xi. The upcoming Fifth Plenary Session in October is expected to formalize additional Central Committee expulsions, with reports indicating more than 40 members could face removal amid broader ideological rectification efforts. In China’s opaque political system, trader assessments of potential targets hinge on patterns of past purges, signals from party meetings, and any visible shifts in elite networks ahead of the 2027 Party Congress.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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