The May 2026 Christie’s sale of Jackson Pollock’s *Number 7A* (1948) for $181.2 million has already cleared the $150 million threshold this year, yet traders keep the “No” side narrowly ahead at 53.5% because the remainder of 2026 lacks confirmed consignments of comparable scale. Spring single-owner collections delivered multiple eight-figure results and re-energized high-end bidding, but subsequent dealer and auction data show softer interest in nine-figure trophy lots outside those marquee events. With the November New York sales still months away and no major fresh-to-market collections publicly announced, the market reflects a narrow window for another blockbuster before year-end. A late consignment from a major estate or a private treaty deal exceeding estimates could quickly shift momentum toward “Yes,” while continued absence of comparable supply would reinforce the current slight lean toward no additional $150 million transactions.