Gold prices remain sensitive to Federal Reserve policy expectations and real yield movements heading into the week of August 31, 2026. Recent inflation readings and labor market data have shaped trader views on the pace of any further rate adjustments, with the dollar and Treasury yields serving as primary transmission channels. Persistent central bank buying and geopolitical risk premiums continue to underpin physical demand, while equity volatility and safe-haven flows add short-term momentum. Key upcoming catalysts include scheduled economic releases that could shift market-implied odds on monetary easing or tightening. These dynamics collectively frame the range-bound yet event-driven environment for XAUUSD.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 4, 2026
↑ $4,800
50%
↑ $4,750
50%
↑ $4,700
49%
↑ $4,650
10%
↑ $4,600
21%
↑ $4,550
64%
↑ $4,500
74%
↓ $4,450
79%
↓ $4,400
74%
↓ $4,350
64%
↓ $4,300
50%
↓ $4,250
50%
↓ $4,200
50%
↓ $4,150
50%
$30 Vol.
↑ $4,800
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $4,750
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $4,700
$0 Vol.
49%
↑ $4,650
$20 Vol.
10%
↑ $4,600
$0 Vol.
21%
↑ $4,550
$0 Vol.
64%
↑ $4,500
$0 Vol.
74%
↓ $4,450
$0 Vol.
79%
↓ $4,400
$0 Vol.
74%
↓ $4,350
$10 Vol.
64%
↓ $4,300
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $4,250
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $4,200
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $4,150
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 31 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Gold prices remain sensitive to Federal Reserve policy expectations and real yield movements heading into the week of August 31, 2026. Recent inflation readings and labor market data have shaped trader views on the pace of any further rate adjustments, with the dollar and Treasury yields serving as primary transmission channels. Persistent central bank buying and geopolitical risk premiums continue to underpin physical demand, while equity volatility and safe-haven flows add short-term momentum. Key upcoming catalysts include scheduled economic releases that could shift market-implied odds on monetary easing or tightening. These dynamics collectively frame the range-bound yet event-driven environment for XAUUSD.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 31 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$30End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 31 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Gold prices remain sensitive to Federal Reserve policy expectations and real yield movements heading into the week of August 31, 2026. Recent inflation readings and labor market data have shaped trader views on the pace of any further rate adjustments, with the dollar and Treasury yields serving as primary transmission channels. Persistent central bank buying and geopolitical risk premiums continue to underpin physical demand, while equity volatility and safe-haven flows add short-term momentum. Key upcoming catalysts include scheduled economic releases that could shift market-implied odds on monetary easing or tightening. These dynamics collectively frame the range-bound yet event-driven environment for XAUUSD.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 31 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$30End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold prices remain sensitive to Federal Reserve policy expectations and real yield movements heading into the week of August 31, 2026. Recent inflation readings and labor market data have shaped trader views on the pace of any further rate adjustments, with the dollar and Treasury yields serving as primary transmission channels. Persistent central bank buying and geopolitical risk premiums continue to underpin physical demand, while equity volatility and safe-haven flows add short-term momentum. Key upcoming catalysts include scheduled economic releases that could shift market-implied odds on monetary easing or tightening. These dynamics collectively frame the range-bound yet event-driven environment for XAUUSD.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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