Google holds near-certain implied probability as the #3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share for the week of August 31 due to its consistent mid-tier token volume amid volatile leadership from lower-cost Chinese providers. Recent leaderboards show DeepSeek, Tencent, Xiaomi, and Z.ai models frequently claiming the top spots through aggressive pricing and strong agentic or coding performance, compressing shares among U.S. labs while Google’s Gemini variants maintain steadier developer routing without the extreme swings seen in open-weight alternatives. This positioning aligns with broader 2026 trends of Chinese models capturing over half of routed volume. A late-week surge by another lab or unexpected Gemini uptake could still shift the final ranking before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGoogle 100.0%
OpenAI 2.1%
Xiaomi <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$10,185 Vol.
$10,185 Vol.

DeepSeek
Non

Z.ai
Non

OpenAI
Non

Tencent
Non

Xiaomi
Non

Oui

Anthropic
Non

MiniMax
Non

Nvidia
Non

Qwen
Non

Meta
Non

xAI
Non
Google 100.0%
OpenAI 2.1%
Xiaomi <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$10,185 Vol.
$10,185 Vol.

DeepSeek
Non

Z.ai
Non

OpenAI
Non

Tencent
Non

Xiaomi
Non

Oui

Anthropic
Non

MiniMax
Non

Nvidia
Non

Qwen
Non

Meta
Non

xAI
Non
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Source de résolution
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Google holds near-certain implied probability as the #3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share for the week of August 31 due to its consistent mid-tier token volume amid volatile leadership from lower-cost Chinese providers. Recent leaderboards show DeepSeek, Tencent, Xiaomi, and Z.ai models frequently claiming the top spots through aggressive pricing and strong agentic or coding performance, compressing shares among U.S. labs while Google’s Gemini variants maintain steadier developer routing without the extreme swings seen in open-weight alternatives. This positioning aligns with broader 2026 trends of Chinese models capturing over half of routed volume. A late-week surge by another lab or unexpected Gemini uptake could still shift the final ranking before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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