Recent momentum in Anthropic’s private funding discussions, including preemptive offers for a $30–50 billion round at $850–950 billion valuation ahead of a May board decision, has lifted trader expectations for a sizable IPO closing market cap. The company’s Claude large language model continues to gain enterprise traction, supported by annualized revenue growth that has doubled repeatedly in 2026 and competitive positioning against OpenAI and Google. With Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley reportedly engaged and an October 2026 listing window under discussion, the 33 percent implied probability on a $1.8 trillion-plus outcome reflects optimism that strong AI capability demonstrations and infrastructure spending will drive post-IPO pricing above recent private marks, while the 13.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027 captures risks around valuation resets or delayed filings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour1.8T+ 37%
1.2–1.5T 16%
1.5–1.8T 14%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
$48,378 Vol.
$48,378 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<0.6T
4%
0.6–0.9T
5%
0.9–1.2T
11%
1.2–1.5T
16%
1.5–1.8T
14%
1.8T+
37%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
1.8T+ 37%
1.2–1.5T 16%
1.5–1.8T 14%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
$48,378 Vol.
$48,378 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<0.6T
$3,442 Vol.
4%
0.6–0.9T
$7,164 Vol.
5%
0.9–1.2T
$6,108 Vol.
11%
1.2–1.5T
$5,186 Vol.
16%
1.5–1.8T
$5,471 Vol.
14%
1.8T+
$13,632 Vol.
37%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$7,375 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent momentum in Anthropic’s private funding discussions, including preemptive offers for a $30–50 billion round at $850–950 billion valuation ahead of a May board decision, has lifted trader expectations for a sizable IPO closing market cap. The company’s Claude large language model continues to gain enterprise traction, supported by annualized revenue growth that has doubled repeatedly in 2026 and competitive positioning against OpenAI and Google. With Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley reportedly engaged and an October 2026 listing window under discussion, the 33 percent implied probability on a $1.8 trillion-plus outcome reflects optimism that strong AI capability demonstrations and infrastructure spending will drive post-IPO pricing above recent private marks, while the 13.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027 captures risks around valuation resets or delayed filings.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$48,378Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent momentum in Anthropic’s private funding discussions, including preemptive offers for a $30–50 billion round at $850–950 billion valuation ahead of a May board decision, has lifted trader expectations for a sizable IPO closing market cap. The company’s Claude large language model continues to gain enterprise traction, supported by annualized revenue growth that has doubled repeatedly in 2026 and competitive positioning against OpenAI and Google. With Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley reportedly engaged and an October 2026 listing window under discussion, the 33 percent implied probability on a $1.8 trillion-plus outcome reflects optimism that strong AI capability demonstrations and infrastructure spending will drive post-IPO pricing above recent private marks, while the 13.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027 captures risks around valuation resets or delayed filings.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$48,378Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent momentum in Anthropic’s private funding discussions, including preemptive offers for a $30–50 billion round at $850–950 billion valuation ahead of a May board decision, has lifted trader expectations for a sizable IPO closing market cap. The company’s Claude large language model continues to gain enterprise traction, supported by annualized revenue growth that has doubled repeatedly in 2026 and competitive positioning against OpenAI and Google. With Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley reportedly engaged and an October 2026 listing window under discussion, the 33 percent implied probability on a $1.8 trillion-plus outcome reflects optimism that strong AI capability demonstrations and infrastructure spending will drive post-IPO pricing above recent private marks, while the 13.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027 captures risks around valuation resets or delayed filings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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