Trader consensus assigns an 81.5% implied probability to Anthropic achieving a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion because the company is advancing toward an October Nasdaq IPO at a targeted valuation near or above $2 trillion. This positioning reflects rapid revenue expansion, with annualized run-rate reaching $65 billion by late July amid strong demand for Claude models, plus the September release of top-benchmark Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1. A $65 billion Series H round in May established a $965 billion private valuation, while secondary trading and investor projections support further upside. Key near-term catalysts include the expected late-September prospectus filing and mid-October roadshow, though final pricing will depend on market conditions and execution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour1.8T+ 82%
1.5–1.8T 8.3%
1.2–1.5T 4.8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 2.9%
$436,634 Vol.
$436,634 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
5%
1.5–1.8T
8%
1.8T+
82%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
1.8T+ 82%
1.5–1.8T 8.3%
1.2–1.5T 4.8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 2.9%
$436,634 Vol.
$436,634 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<0.6T
$22,407 Vol.
1%
0.6–0.9T
$27,023 Vol.
1%
0.9–1.2T
$27,276 Vol.
1%
1.2–1.5T
$34,870 Vol.
5%
1.5–1.8T
$52,782 Vol.
8%
1.8T+
$218,630 Vol.
82%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$53,646 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus assigns an 81.5% implied probability to Anthropic achieving a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion because the company is advancing toward an October Nasdaq IPO at a targeted valuation near or above $2 trillion. This positioning reflects rapid revenue expansion, with annualized run-rate reaching $65 billion by late July amid strong demand for Claude models, plus the September release of top-benchmark Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1. A $65 billion Series H round in May established a $965 billion private valuation, while secondary trading and investor projections support further upside. Key near-term catalysts include the expected late-September prospectus filing and mid-October roadshow, though final pricing will depend on market conditions and execution.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$436,634Date de fin
1 janv. 2028Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus assigns an 81.5% implied probability to Anthropic achieving a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion because the company is advancing toward an October Nasdaq IPO at a targeted valuation near or above $2 trillion. This positioning reflects rapid revenue expansion, with annualized run-rate reaching $65 billion by late July amid strong demand for Claude models, plus the September release of top-benchmark Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1. A $65 billion Series H round in May established a $965 billion private valuation, while secondary trading and investor projections support further upside. Key near-term catalysts include the expected late-September prospectus filing and mid-October roadshow, though final pricing will depend on market conditions and execution.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$436,634Date de fin
1 janv. 2028Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns an 81.5% implied probability to Anthropic achieving a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion because the company is advancing toward an October Nasdaq IPO at a targeted valuation near or above $2 trillion. This positioning reflects rapid revenue expansion, with annualized run-rate reaching $65 billion by late July amid strong demand for Claude models, plus the September release of top-benchmark Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1. A $65 billion Series H round in May established a $965 billion private valuation, while secondary trading and investor projections support further upside. Key near-term catalysts include the expected late-September prospectus filing and mid-October roadshow, though final pricing will depend on market conditions and execution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La capitalisation boursière d’Anthropic atteindra-t-elle 600 milliards de dollars ou plus à la clôture du marché le jour de son introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?
96%
Oui
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
26%
Capitalisation boursière de clôture supérieure à 1,5 T$ pour l'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic ?
95%
Oui
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