Traders assign a 98.7% implied probability that Anthropic will not complete its IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the extended preparation timeline required for a major artificial intelligence company. Recent reporting shows the firm hired Wilson Sonsini in late 2025 and has discussed a potential listing with banks no earlier than Q4 2026, while pursuing a final private funding round that could value it above $900 billion. These steps align with standard regulatory filing, roadshow, and due-diligence processes that typically span many months. A sudden acceleration would require an unusually rapid S-1 submission and market window, both of which remain outside confirmed public statements from Anthropic or its advisors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPas d'entrée en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026 98.6%
600 Md+ <1%
400–600 Md$ <1%
<100B <1%
$1,299,068 Vol.
$1,299,068 Vol.
<100B
<1%
100–200 milliards
<1%
Titre de l’élément du groupe : 200–300 milliards
<1%
300–400 Md
<1%
400–600 Md$
<1%
600 Md+
1%
Pas d'entrée en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026
99%
Pas d'entrée en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026 98.6%
600 Md+ <1%
400–600 Md$ <1%
<100B <1%
$1,299,068 Vol.
$1,299,068 Vol.
<100B
<1%
100–200 milliards
<1%
Titre de l’élément du groupe : 200–300 milliards
<1%
300–400 Md
<1%
400–600 Md$
<1%
600 Md+
1%
Pas d'entrée en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026
99%
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders assign a 98.7% implied probability that Anthropic will not complete its IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the extended preparation timeline required for a major artificial intelligence company. Recent reporting shows the firm hired Wilson Sonsini in late 2025 and has discussed a potential listing with banks no earlier than Q4 2026, while pursuing a final private funding round that could value it above $900 billion. These steps align with standard regulatory filing, roadshow, and due-diligence processes that typically span many months. A sudden acceleration would require an unusually rapid S-1 submission and market window, both of which remain outside confirmed public statements from Anthropic or its advisors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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