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icon for Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa en tant que leader de Bahreïn par... ?

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa en tant que leader de Bahreïn par... ?

icon for Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa en tant que leader de Bahreïn par... ?

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa en tant que leader de Bahreïn par... ?

$164,861 Vol.

30 juin 2026
Polymarket

$164,861 Vol.

Polymarket

30 juin

$163,906 Vol.

3%

31 décembre

$955 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa continues to exercise direct authority as Bahrain’s monarch, issuing royal decrees to extend the current parliamentary term until December 2026 and directing responses to regional security developments tied to tensions with Iran. The crown prince and prime minister, Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa, handles day-to-day governance and has been tasked with implementing defense and economic measures, reinforcing institutional continuity within the Al Khalifa dynasty. No public statements, health concerns, or political pressures have emerged indicating an imminent transition, abdication, or removal before the June 30, 2026 resolution date. Succession follows agnatic primogeniture among the king’s male descendants, a process that has proceeded without disruption in recent years. Traders appear to price the low probability of change based on the absence of any catalyst that would alter this stable monarchical structure in the short term.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.

An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$164,861
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 4, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa continues to exercise direct authority as Bahrain’s monarch, issuing royal decrees to extend the current parliamentary term until December 2026 and directing responses to regional security developments tied to tensions with Iran. The crown prince and prime minister, Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa, handles day-to-day governance and has been tasked with implementing defense and economic measures, reinforcing institutional continuity within the Al Khalifa dynasty. No public statements, health concerns, or political pressures have emerged indicating an imminent transition, abdication, or removal before the June 30, 2026 resolution date. Succession follows agnatic primogeniture among the king’s male descendants, a process that has proceeded without disruption in recent years. Traders appear to price the low probability of change based on the absence of any catalyst that would alter this stable monarchical structure in the short term.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.

An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$164,861
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 4, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Questions fréquentes

« Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa en tant que leader de Bahreïn par... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31 décembre » à 13%, suivi de « 30 juin » à 3%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 13¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 13% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa en tant que leader de Bahreïn par... ? » a généré $164.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 4, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa en tant que leader de Bahreïn par... ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa en tant que leader de Bahreïn par... ? » est « 31 décembre » à 13%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 13% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 30 juin » à 3%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa en tant que leader de Bahreïn par... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.