Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover or precipitation risk over central Turkey by June 13, 2026, positioning the maximum temperature in Ankara near 21–22°C and explaining the dominant market-implied probabilities for those bins. These conditions contrast with typical mid-June climatology of 26–28°C highs driven by stronger subtropical ridging. Short-range updates through June 11 show consistent signals of northerly flow limiting daytime warming, though ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima. Traders appear to weight official station observations at Esenboğa Airport heavily, with further model runs expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Ankara on June 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 13?
21°C or below 41%
22°C 31%
24°C 14.3%
23°C 14.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 juin 2026
21°C or below
41%
22°C
31%
23°C
14%
24°C
14%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 41%
22°C 31%
24°C 14.3%
23°C 14.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 juin 2026
21°C or below
$137 Vol.
41%
22°C
$0 Vol.
31%
23°C
$57 Vol.
14%
24°C
$83 Vol.
14%
25°C
$50 Vol.
3%
26°C
$60 Vol.
1%
27°C
$60 Vol.
1%
28°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$438 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover or precipitation risk over central Turkey by June 13, 2026, positioning the maximum temperature in Ankara near 21–22°C and explaining the dominant market-implied probabilities for those bins. These conditions contrast with typical mid-June climatology of 26–28°C highs driven by stronger subtropical ridging. Short-range updates through June 11 show consistent signals of northerly flow limiting daytime warming, though ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima. Traders appear to weight official station observations at Esenboğa Airport heavily, with further model runs expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$984Date de fin
13 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover or precipitation risk over central Turkey by June 13, 2026, positioning the maximum temperature in Ankara near 21–22°C and explaining the dominant market-implied probabilities for those bins. These conditions contrast with typical mid-June climatology of 26–28°C highs driven by stronger subtropical ridging. Short-range updates through June 11 show consistent signals of northerly flow limiting daytime warming, though ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima. Traders appear to weight official station observations at Esenboğa Airport heavily, with further model runs expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$984Date de fin
13 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover or precipitation risk over central Turkey by June 13, 2026, positioning the maximum temperature in Ankara near 21–22°C and explaining the dominant market-implied probabilities for those bins. These conditions contrast with typical mid-June climatology of 26–28°C highs driven by stronger subtropical ridging. Short-range updates through June 11 show consistent signals of northerly flow limiting daytime warming, though ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima. Traders appear to weight official station observations at Esenboğa Airport heavily, with further model runs expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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